Fall color changing earlier than the past two years in Minnesota

This September is running 4 to 5 degrees cooler than the past two years.

Late September fall color in Carver Park Reserve
Late September fall color in Carver Park Reserve
Paul Huttner/MPR News

Fall leaves are changing color earlier than the past two years in much of Minnesota.

The trend is especially notable up north, where colors are at or near peak sooner than 2018 and 2019 according to comparisons from the Minnesota DNR fall color maps on Sept. 28.

Fall color reports for September 28
Fall color reports for September 28
Minnesota DNR

Chilly September

This September has been relatively chilly compared to the last two Septembers in Minnesota. Temperatures are running about 1 to 3 degrees colder than average in much of Minnesota this month.

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Temperature departure from average in September 2020
Temperature departure from average in September 2020
Midwest Regional Climate Center

That’s significantly cooler than last year when temperatures ran 2 to more than 4 degrees warmer than average during September in Minnesota. Most of the Midwest was very warm and wet last September.

Midwest temperature and precipitation for September 2019
Midwest temperature and precipitation for September 2019
Chicago NWS office

The average monthly temperature in the Twin Cities for September 2019 was 4.7 degrees warmer than average. In 2018 the Twin Cities and Duluth were more than 3 degrees warmer than average.

That means this September is running about 4 to 5 degrees colder than the past two Septembers in Minnesota.

Early cold snap

The early cold snap in the second week of September is also driving the quicker color changes this year. Temperatures dipped into the 20s across northern Minnesota several nights between September 8 and 11.

Frost and freeze advisories
Frost and freeze advisories
Duluth National Weather Service

That early September temperature shock accelerated fall color changes this year.

Here’s a look at the overall average dates for the elusive “peak” fall color in Minnesota from the Minnesota DNR.

typical_peak_color
Image: Minnesota DNR
Huttner, Paul

To my eye this year’s color progression looks fairly similar to the average fall color peak times in Minnesota. But this September is ahead of the past two years, which were unusually warm.