Classic fall weekend, Joaquin spares US
Another blissful weekend.
Another blissful weekend.
The Category 4 hurricane is virtually stalled at the moment over the Bahamas, but the storm forecast tracks have it staying well offshore as it moves north.
As forecast models continue to grapple for consensus on the eventual track of Hurricane Joaquin, there is a growing trend. Most of the models seem to be coming more into agreement with the ECMWF model's notion of an easterly track that keeps the powerful and dangerous hurricane out to sea and away from the US coastline. It's still too early to be sure the US will avoid a direct hit from Joaquin, but a distinct shift in that direction has occurred.
The hurricane currently centered in the Bahamas has maximum sustained winds of 160 mph. It could track for a landfall on the U.S. East Coast by the weekend.
Weather forecast confidence grows when the most trusted forecast models cluster around one outcome. In the forecasting game we call numerical weather prediction, ensemble mean forecasts from a suite of (many) models usually produce a better output than one single reliable forecast model.
Joaquin is now officially Hurricane Joaquin as it continues to churn and strengthen near the Bahamas.
Time to cover up those Supertunias. Frost advisories include St. Cloud and the northeast metro into Wednesday morning. Freeze warnings are flying again for northeast Minnesota and northern Wisconsin.
Tropical trouble is brewing in the Atlantic.
It looks like the perfect storm for a delayed but excellent fall color season this year across Minnesota.
Today's cool front brings a few scattered showers as it sags south. Cooler, more seasonal Canadian high pressure noses south into Minnesota this week and bumps temperatures back to reality.
It's September in Minnesota. Every weekend is picture perfect. Sunny skies. Summer-like temps in the 70s and 80s. Not a hint of a cold front of snow flurry in sight. The "ultra-glorious" summer of 2015 followed by the best September I can remember? A rare Harvest Supermoon total lunar eclipse to close out the last glorious September weekend?
Inside Climate News reported this week that Exxon scientists knew as early as 1977 that the pace of burning carbon based fossil fuels would change earth's climate.
One look outside today and we know what it must be like to live in a sponge. Our slow moving soggy low pressure system spins itself out today across the Upper Midwest.
Our latest rainmaker has arrived during midweek once again. The timing of weather systems across Midwest favors another clearing trend just in time for the weekend.
Expect rain in much of Minnesota at times Wednesday. The weekend looks even more summer-like that it did Tuesday. Plenty of sun and highs near 80 for the metro and southern Minnesota this weekend.
Our next weather system slogs into Minnesota Wednesday morning. Thunder and more heavy rain creates The Land of 10,000 Puddles as Wednesday unfolds.
Tropical moisture surges north once again on Wednesday. Radars start to light up again overnight. The vanguard waves of yet another super soaker with multi inch rainfall totals across Minnesota tomorrow.
Now savvy weather eyes turn toward the desert southwest, where tropical moisture is dumping heavy rains. Flash flood watches are in effect for a big chunk of Arizona, New Mexico and even southern California as tropical moisture surges north.
Even the meteorologists are bailing on Minnesota winters.
Temperatures are expected to climb several degrees above normal this afternoon. A brisk wind will rustle the tree tops and likely scatter a few leaves that are retiring for the season.