Showers and thunderstorms at times

It's an umbrella kind of day.

Periods of rain and a few embedded thunderstorms are expected over about the southern half of Minnesota this Thursday morning into early afternoon.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also possible later this afternoon and evening for about the southern third of Minnesota.

By Friday, southern and central Minnesota should be rain-free, with scattered shower activity possible in northern Minnesota.

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Severe weather outlook

The Storm Prediction Center of the National Weather Service shows a marginal risk of severe weather for much of southern Minnesota this Thursday and Thursday night, with a slight risk of severe weather in the far southeast:

rt0622svr
NWS Storm Prediction Center

Marginal risk means that an isolated severe thunderstorm is possible, slight risk means that scattered severe thunderstorms are possible:

Cooler temps

We hit 81 degrees Wednesday afternoon at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, which is exactly equal to our average high this time of year in the Twin Cities metro area.

We might not see 80s again until next Tuesday.

Highs will be in the 70s over most of Minnesota this Thursday afternoon.

Cooler highs in the 60s will cover northern and central Minnesota on Friday:

rt0623h

Southern Minnesota and the Twin Cities metro area will see highs in the lower 70s.

Similarly cool highs are on tap for Saturday:

rt0624h2

Highs in the Twin Cities metro area will only reach about 70 degrees this weekend.

Twin Cities highs warm to around 76 next Monday, then 80 Tuesday and lower 80s next Wednesday.

Tropical Storm Cindy

According to the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Storm Cindy made landfall early Thursday:

Tropical Storm Cindy Discussion Number 11

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

400 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017

Radar imagery from Slidell and Lake Charles, Louisiana along with

surface synoptic data, particularly those from Calcasieu Pass

Louisiana, indicate that the center of Cindy crossed the coast

between Cameron Louisiana and Port Arthur Texas an hour or two ago.

The observations from Calcasieu indicate that the intensity is now

around 35 kt.  Now that the center is inland, steady weakening will

occur and the system should become a depression later today, and be

reduced to a post-tropical remnant low tonight. In 2-3 days, or

sooner, the remnant low of Cindy should become absorbed into a

frontal zone over the eastern United States.

Cindy will weaken to tropical depression strength today and move north-northeastward:

rt0622nhc
NWS National Hurricane Center

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the potential rain pattern, that is enhanced in several southern states due to the remnants of Cindy, from today through Friday:

rt0622rad2
NOAA NAM simulated radar from Thursday morning through Friday afternoon, via tropicaltidbits

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public radio at 7:49 a.m. Thursdays and Fridays, and at 7:35 a.m. and 9:35 a.m. each Saturday and Sunday.