Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Updated forecast track for powerful Hurricane Dorian

Severe weather potential in parts of Minnesota, Wis. late Monday

Many spots in northern Minnesota had plenty of sunshine Saturday, while southern Minnesota had clouds and an occasional glimpse of sun. Most areas will see clouds and some glimpses of sun on Sunday, with slightly cooler than normal temperatures.

Temperature trends

Sunday highs will feature a lot of 70s, with 60s near Lake Superior:

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Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Many Twin Cities locations are expected to peak in the mid 70s.

Parts of southern Minnesota will top out in the lower 80s on Labor Day, with mostly 70s elsewhere:

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Monday forecast highs
National Weather Service

We’ll have a shot at 80 degrees in the metro area.

Twin Cities highs are projected to reach the mid 70s on Tuesday, followed by around 70 degrees on Wednesday and the lower 70s on Thursday and Friday.

Rain chances

Most of Sunday will be dry, but a few very scattered light rain showers are possible in Minnesota and western Wisconsin. One forecast model shows some more organized showers moving into northwestern Minnesota late on Sunday. As always, updated weather information can be heard on the Minnesota Public Radio Network, and you’ll also see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

Some scattered showers/t-storms could move into northern Minnesota late in the afternoon on Labor Day. Showers and t-storms will probably expand in coverage and spread into parts of central and southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin as we go through Monday evening and Monday night. Our Twin Cities metro area Labor Day shower/t-storm chance looks like it will hold off until Monday evening.

The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center shows a slight risk of severe weather Monday and Monday night for much of Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Slight risk means that scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Our Twin Cities metro area risk of severe weather would tend to be Monday evening or overnight Monday night. Here’s a look at the risk area and the timing of the severe risk, from the Twin Cities NWS office:

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Severe weather risk Monday and Monday night
National Weather Service

Monday night in NWS terminology includes the evening and overnight hours. Check forecast updates.

Hurricane Dorian

Hurricane Dorian’s maximum sustained winds were 150 mph Saturday evening, making it a Category 4 hurricane. Hurricane warnings have been issued for the northwestern Bahamas.

The forecast track of the center of Hurricane Dorian has been shifted a bit eastward, which is good news for many Floridians:

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Forecast track of Hurricane Dorian
NWS National Hurricane Center

The forecast graphic depicts the “cone of uncertainty” of the path of the center of Hurricane Dorian. The National Hurricane Center will update the Hurricane Dorian forecast every few hours.

There is now more agreement among the various forecast models regarding Dorian’s track:

Here are the key messages posted by the National Hurricane Center Saturday evening:

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Key messages regarding Hurricane Dorian
NWS National Hurricane Center

Even if the center of Hurricane Dorian tracks well off of the east coast of Florida, portions of eastern Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas will see damaging winds and heavy rain. Here’s the rainfall potential from Dorian:

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Potential rainfall from Hurricane Dorian
NOAA/National Weather Service

Check for updates.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:49 a.m. Thursdays and Fridays, and at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.

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