Cooler but still well above normal this week

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Most of us don’t need any more rain right now.

Heavy rains prompted a flash flood warning in the southeastern part of Faribault County in south-central Minnesota Friday morning. Additional scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible in Minnesota and western Wisconsin through Friday night.

The National Weather Service noted on Thursday that Rochester, Minn., has already set an annual precipitation record, with more than three months left in the year:

Precipitation includes rainfall plus the water content of the snowfalls this year.

The scattered showers and thunderstorms that develop Friday and Friday evening are expected to become more numerous late Friday night and Saturday.  The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the potential rain pattern Saturday and Saturday night:

It’ll rain in some areas that look dry in the loop, but the loop depicts the general rain pattern within the NAM model. As always, updated weather information can be heard on the MPR 

, and you’ll also see updated weather info on the MPR News 

Sunday looks dry in roughly the southern half of Minnesota with a chance of scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms in the north.

National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center

 shows a slight risk of severe weather through Friday night in portions of west-central and northwestern Minnesota, and a marginal risk of severe weather to the east and south:

Slight risk means that scattered severe thunderstorms are possible, while marginal risk indicates that an isolated severe storm is possible. Around mid-afternoon, the Storm Prediction Center will update the outlook for the rest of Friday.

A marginal risk of severe weather is indicated over Minnesota and western Wisconsin Saturday and Saturday night:

Our average Twin Cities high temperature is only 70 degrees this time of year. The metro area and much of central and southern Minnesota and west-central Wisconsin will top out in the 80s this Friday, with mostly 70s in northern Minnesota.

Saturday highs will be mainly in the 70s:

Highs in the 60s cover northern and central Minnesota on Sunday:

Twin Cities Metro area highs are projected to reach the lower 70s Monday and Tuesday, followed by 70 Wednesday and upper 60s on Thursday.

The Minnesota Department of Natural Resources has issued a 

 that shows several areas of substantial fall color in northern Minnesota:

Keep in mind that the fall color report includes all deciduous trees, not just maples. The brilliant fall colors will expand across the remainder of Minnesota in the next couple of weeks.

Hurricane Jerry could be near Bermuda next week

It’s great news that Hurricane Jerry is expected to pass well to the north of Puerto Rico this weekend. The 

 forecasts this track for the center of Jerry over the next few days: 

Here’s a portion of the Friday morning update from the National Hurricane Center:

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:49 a.m. Thursdays and Fridays and at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.

Weather and Climate News

Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Ron Trenda

Author

It’ll feel more like July than September Friday afternoon. Unusually warm temperatures and dew points creeping above 70 degrees will be accompanied by a chance of a shower or thunderstorm.  Our Saturday will be wet at times, but Sunday is looking better. Fall-color aficionados will be happy with the latest fall color report.

A summery Friday, with a shower or thunderstorm possible

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