Nicer weather for our Sunday, and temps ramp up to start the week

Flakes for parts of Minnesota on Thursday?

Saturday’s puddles will give way to some sunshine Sunday morning. That’ll be nice, and runners in the Twin Cities Marathon Sunday morning won’t have to deal with any rain showers.

Scattered showers are possible in northern Minnesota on Sunday, and there could be a passing late afternoon shower from central Minnesota through the Twin Cities and into western Wisconsin.

Temperature trends

Sunday highs will reach the 50s in much of northern and central Minnesota, with some lower 60s in parts of far southern Minnesota and west-central Wisconsin:

Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Some spots in the metro area will probably reach 60 degrees Sunday afternoon.

High in the 60s spread into parts of central and northwestern Minnesota Monday afternoon:

Monday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to reach the mid 60s Tuesday, followed by upper 60s Wednesday and upper 50s on Thursday. Friday highs may only reach the middle 40s.

Wednesday night and Thursday flakes in the northwest?

Rain is expected to spread back into Minnesota Wednesday afternoon and evening, and continue into Thursday. It could be cold enough for some snowflakes or a rain/snow mix in northwestern Minnesota by late Wednesday night and Thursday. The rain chance probably holds off until Wednesday evening in the Twin Cities, and Thursday looks rainy. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Global Forecast System (GFS) model shows the potential precipitation pattern Wednesday through Thursday:

NOAA GFS model precipitation rate Wednesday through Thursday

Check forecast updates, since the forecast models will probably change a bit by the end of the week. One forecast model indicates a chance of some flakes mixing with rain showers in the metro area Friday morning.

Fall color update

Leaf peepers won’t have to travel very far (or at all) to see some great fall colors this weekend. Here’s the latest fall color report from the Minnesota Department of Natural Resources:

Fall colors Saturday Oct.5
Minnesota Department of Natural Resources

Keep in mind that the fall color report includes all deciduous trees, not just maples. A Wisconsin fall color report is also available.

Closing in on the precipitation record

The Saturday rainfall total at MSP airport was 1.05 inches, as of 4 p.m. CDT. That brought our 2019 Twin Cities precipitation total (rain plus the water content of snow) to 37.12 inches:

Twin Cities climate report for Saturday
National Weather Service

We are running 11.38 inches wetter than normal in the Twin Cities through this point in the year. With almost three months left in the year, we’re only 3.03 inches shy of our wettest calendar year in the Twin Cities, which was 40.15 inches in 1911.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:49 a.m. Thursdays and Fridays and at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.

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