Arctic chill to start the week; Wednesday snow chances

Milder temps later this week

Our periods of light snow Sunday afternoon and early Sunday evening were just enough to slick up some roads in the Twin Cities metro area and southern Minnesota. There were reports of some spin outs and crashes. It reminded us that even minor snow accumulations can cause slick spots when road temperatures are cold enough. Listen for updated weather information on the MPR network, and you’ll also see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

You can always get Minnesota road condition updates here. Wisconsin road conditions are found here.

A shot at a record

The coldest high temperature ever recorded in the Twin Cities on Nov. 11 was 18 degrees, back in 1986:

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Twin Cities November climate data
Minnesota Department of Natural Resources

We have a shot at tying or breaking that record on Monday, which is Veterans Day. High temps can happen any time during the calendar day, not just during the daylight hours. If it is slightly above 18 degrees shortly after midnight (early on Monday) the record will not be broken, even if the afternoon high is cooler than 18 degrees.

Temperature trends

Monday afternoon highs are expected to be in the teens across much of Minnesota and western Wisconsin, with some lower 20s possible in southeastern Minnesota. That’s arctic chill! Our average Nov. 11 high temp is 44 degrees in the Twin Cities.

Wind chill temperatures will be below zero:

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Monday wind chill
National Weather Service

Monday night/early Tuesday low temps will dip below zero in parts of northern Minnesota, with single digits above zero in the south:

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Tuesday forecast lows
National Weather Service

Tuesday highs reach the 20s in the central and south, with teens to the north:

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Tuesday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to hit about 30 degrees on Wednesday, followed by mid 30s Thursday and upper 30s on Friday.

The Nov. 18 through Nov. 24 temperature outlook from the NWS Climate Prediction Center points to warmer than normal temps in Minnesota:

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Temperature outlook Nov.18 through Nov. 24
NWS Climate Prediction Center

We’ll see if that pans out.

Lake effect snow near Mille Lacs on Monday?

Cold air moving over the open water of Lake Mille Lacs could cause some snow near the lake on Monday:

“Tonight” in the tweet refers to the overnight hours of Sunday night, while “tomorrow” refers to Monday.

Wednesday snow chances

Portions of Minnesota and western Wisconsin could see some periods of snow Wednesday into Wednesday evening. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern Wednesday and Wednesday evening:

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Simulated radar for Wednesday, from the NAM forecast model
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

Check forecast updates.