Breezy Sunday, with mild temps; February recap
Flake chance far northern Minnesota
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High temperatures will be warmer than average across much of Minnesota and western Wisconsin as we begin meteorological spring today. Astronomical spring begins March 19 this year.
Temperature trends
Most of Minnesota plus western Wisconsin will have Sunday afternoon highs in the 40s. Highs in the 30s are expected in most of west-central and northwestern Minnesota. Our average March 1 high is 34 degrees in the Twin Cities metro area. Metro area highs are projected to reach the upper 40s today. I can’t rule out an isolated 50.
Monday highs will be mainly in the 30s across Minnesota and western Wisconsin:
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Monday afternoon wind chills range from the teens in northern Minnesota to the 20s in the south:
Temperatures rebound on Tuesday and above normal highs will linger through Friday. Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to reach the lower 40s Tuesday, followed by mid 40s Wednesday and Thursday and lower 40s on Friday.
Next weekend and beyond
Next weekend looks warmer than normal, and forecast models show a shot at 50 degrees in the Twin Cities. The temperature outlook from the NWS Climate Prediction Center shows a tendency toward warmer than normal temperatures next weekend and the following week for much of Minnesota and Wisconsin:
We’ll see if that pans out.
Wind advisory includes Red River Valley
Winds will pick up Sunday afternoon, with the strongest winds to the northwest. A wind advisory includes Minnesota counties bordering the Red River from 11 a.m. to 6 p.m.:
Details of the wind advisory:
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 252 AM CST Sun Mar 1 2020 MNZ001>004-007-029-NDZ008-016-027-030-039-052-053-020000- /O.EXB.KFGF.WI.Y.0004.200301T1700Z-200302T0000Z/ West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-Wilkin-Pembina- Eastern Walsh-Grand Forks-Traill-Cass-Sargent-Richland- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Breckenridge, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Grafton, Park River, Grand Forks, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, Fargo, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton 252 AM CST Sun Mar 1 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north
Flake/sprinkle chance north
Parts of far northern Minnesota could see light snow showers, flurries and sprinkles at times Sunday afternoon and evening. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern Sunday afternoon and evening:
You can hear updated weather information on the MPR network, and you’ll see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.
Mild meteorological winter
Many meteorologists and climatologists label the three coldest months (December, January and February) as “winter”. February was three-tenths of a degree warmer than average in the Twin Cities. Data from Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport indicates that January and December were quite a bit warmer than average:
By the way, our February snowfall total was 7.5 inches at MSP airport. The 30-year average for February is 7.8 inches of snow in the Twin Cities.
Programming note
You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.
