Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible

An isolated severe storm possible late this afternoon and this evening

It’s Memorial Day weekend, so a few minutes of rain are almost expected. Some of us saw some morning showers. Parts of southern Minnesota had thunderstorms and downpours for a while. Additional scattered showers and a few thunderstorms could pop up in parts of Minnesota and western Wisconsin Sunday afternoon and evening.

The updated severe weather outlook from the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center shows a marginal risk of severe weather from the southeastern part of the Twin Cities metro area into southern Minnesota and parts of Wisconsin:

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Severe weather outlook Sunday and Sunday evening
National Weather Service

Marginal risk (shaded dark-green) means that an isolated severe thunderstorm is possible. Any severe weather threat in Minnesota and west-central Wisconsin would tend to hold off until later this afternoon and into this evening. The light-green shaded area indicates general (non-severe) thunderstorms are possible.

You can hear updated weather information on the MPR network, and you’ll see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

Memorial Day rain?

We could see some occasional scattered showers and a few embedded thunderstorms on Memorial Day.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows this potential rain pattern Monday and Monday evening:

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Simulated radar Monday and Monday evening
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

Any given spot will also have many dry hours on Memorial Day.

Temperature trends

Sunday afternoon highs will be mainly in the 70s. A few spots in southeastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin could top 80 degrees late Sunday afternoon. Dew points will be in the 60s across much of central and southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin.

Memorial Day highs will feature a lot of 70s, with some spots topping 80 degrees:

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Monday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Many areas will have dew points in the sticky 60s on Memorial Day:

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Monday 2 p.m. forecast dew points
National Weather Service

Back to high temperatures, Twin Cities metro area highs will probably retreat to the upper 70s on Tuesday, followed by lower 80s Wednesday and around 80 on Thursday and Friday.

We don’t see any chilly weather in the near future. The NWS Climate Prediction Center temperature outlook for May 29 through June 2 shows a tendency for above-normal temps in Minnesota and western Wisconsin:

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Temperature outlook May 29 through June 2
NWS Climate Prediction Center

We’ll see if that pans out.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.