Milder on Monday, snow favors northern Minnesota

The peak wind gust reported Sunday at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport was 46 mph. Winds will be much lighter than that on Monday.

Monday snow chance highest north

A low pressure system will be tracking across Minnesota on Monday. It’ll probably bring a stripe of snow with it, with the best chance of accumulating snow in portions of northern Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin. The Twin Cities metro area could see a few flurries.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern on Monday:

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NAM model simulated radar for Monday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

Maximum accumulations would tend to be in the one to two-inch range. The NAM model track could also bring some minor accumulations to parts of central Minnesota.

NOAA’s High Resolution Rapid-Refresh model shows the snow pattern shifted just a bit to the north:

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HRRR model simulated radar for Monday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

Here’s the Duluth NWS depiction of Monday snow potential:

You can hear updated weather information on the MPR network, and you’ll see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

Temperature trends

Our average Twin Cities high temperature is 41 degrees on Nov. 16. Metro area highs are expected to be right around 41 on Monday. Monday highs are expected to range from the upper 20s in far northern Minnesota to upper 40s in far southern Minnesota:

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Monday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Monday wind gusts will be in the 16-22 mph range for many areas, with gusts over 30 mph possible in southwestern and south-central Minnesota:

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Monday noon forecast wind gusts
National Weather Service

Back to temperatures, Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to reach the lower 30s on Tuesday, followed by upper 40s Wednesday and Thursday then lower 40s on Friday.

Looking ahead to Thanksgiving week, the NWS Climate Prediction Center shows a tendency for above normal temperatures in Minnesota and Wisconsin from Nov. 23 through Nov. 29:

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Temperature outlook Nov. 23 through Nov. 29
NWS Climate Prediction Center

We’ll see if that changes.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.