A nice Saturday; rain/snow mix moves in tonight

Highest accumulations stay north overnight

Our average Twin Cities high temperature is 38 degrees on Nov. 21. The Twin Cities metro area highs will probably hit a high temp in the lower 40s this Saturday. Highs are forecast to reach the 40s in southern and west-central Minnesota, with 30s elsewhere:

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Saturday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Winds start out very light, then we’re expecting gusts between 8-17 mph in most areas Saturday afternoon::

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Saturday noon forecast wind gusts
National Weather Service

Plotted values are in knots, with 8 knots equal to 9 mph and 15 knots equal to 17 mph.

Snow or a mix Saturday night into early Sunday

A mix of light rain and snow could move into western Minnesota Saturday evening, then spread eastward as it transitions to mostly snow Saturday night. There could be a bit of light freezing rain in a few spots Saturday night. Light snow may linger into Sunday morning in parts of eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern Saturday evening through Sunday afternoon:

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Simulated radar Saturday evening through Sunday afternoon
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

Here’s the NWS projection of snow amounts Saturday night and Sunday:

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Saturday night through Sunday snow forecast
National Weather Service

You can see that less than one inch of snow is shown in the Twin Cities metro area, while parts of central Minnesota could get as much as two inches of new snow.

You can hear updated weather information on the MPR network, and you’ll see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

This Updraft blog will be updated by around 10 a.m. with details on the remainder of the weekend, plus a look at the week ahead.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.

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