Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Weekend forecast: Snow chances highest Saturday and early Sunday

Heaviest snow to the south

People ski and snowboard down a slope
Skiers and snowboarders make their way toward the main chalet at Spirit Mountain on Sunday, Jan. 10, 2021, in Duluth, Minn. City-owned Spirit Mountain is facing a make or break winter season with financial difficulties deepened by the pandemicÕs effect on city finances and the cancellation of summer activities, which was also due to the pandemic.
Derek Montgomery for MPR News file

The Twin Cities metro area has seen above-normal snowfall so far this snow season.

Here’s the latest summary for the official observation site at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport:

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Twin Cities Climate information
National Weather Service

The dark blue boxes highlight our Twin Cities season snowfall, which is 38.3 inches so far, plus the fact that we’re running 5.7 inches above normal for this point in our snow season.

We had a fast start, with our snowiest October in Twin Cities weather records; 9.3 inches. The light blue boxes highlight our Jan. snow total of 7.8 inches, and the fact that we’re running 3 inches below-normal so far this month. We’ll reduce that Jan. “snow deficit” this weekend.

Weekend snow update

Parts of Nebraska, Iowa, northern Illinois and far southern Wisconsin saw heavy snow earlier this week. Those same areas may see another dumping of snow this weekend.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from Saturday morning through mid-afternoon on Sunday:

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Simulated radar Saturday morning through 3 p.m. Sunday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

Minnesota and west-central Wisconsin would see lighter snow amounts from the NAM storm track, possibly in the one-to- two-inch range. I wouldn’t be surprised to see some three-inch totals in far southern Minnesota. Check forecast updates, since a stronger low pressure system or a storm track that shifts northward would increase our snow amounts in Minnesota and western Wisconsin.

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the MPR network, and you’ll see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

Our average Twin Cities high temperature is 25 degrees on Jan. 30. Metro area highs will probably creep into the lower 30s this Saturday. Southern Minnesota and much of western Wisconsin will also reach the lower 30s, with 20s elsewhere:

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Saturday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Saturday wind gusts are expected to be in the 15-22 mph range in most areas:

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Saturday noon forecast wind gusts
National Weather Service

Plotted gusts are in knots, with 18 knots equal to 20.7 mph.

Back to temperatures, Sunday highs will reach the lower 30s in the Twin Cities metro area plus points to the south and east of the metro area, with 20s elsewhere:

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Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Winds will be a bit lighter on Sunday.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.