March 4 update on COVID-19 in MN: Vaccination pace accelerates; disease data steady

A man holds a vial while wearing a face mask.
John Pastor (right) and Abe Jacob of M Health Fairview in Minneapolis show Gov. Tim Walz a newly arrived vial of Johnson & Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine on Wednesday.
Matt Sepic | MPR News

3 things to know:

  • Vaccination trend line at new high; 500K Minnesotans completely vaccinated

  • State Fair, June weddings possible, Walz says

  • Hospitalizations, new and active cases stay modest; death counts ticking up


Updated: 11:40 a.m.

After months of grim COVID-19 milestones, Minnesota reached a bright one Thursday: The number of Minnesotans now completely vaccinated is greater than the total count of known COVID-19 cases in the entire pandemic.

The Health Department reported 500,188 — about 9 percent of Minnesotans — are completely vaccinated now. About 17 percent — more than 948,000 people — had received at least one dose.

After a wobbly start, vaccinations are running firmly in the right direction.

Officials reported some 35,000 new vaccinations in Minnesota, significantly higher than the prior Thursday. The seven-day trend is running at nearly 40,000 shots daily now, the highest since vaccinations began in late December.

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Newly reported COVID-19 vaccine doses in Minnesota

State public health leaders have said for weeks that they’d be ready to ramp up when they got more supply. With the federal government now promising enough vaccine to inoculate every adult American by the end of May — two months earlier than expected — the table seems set.

Conditions are improving quickly enough that June weddings and a Minnesota State Fair this year were within reach, a buoyant Gov. Tim Walz said Wednesday.

“The brass ring is pretty grabable with the State Fair” this year, he said as after highlighting the arrival of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine at a Minneapolis hospital. Activities for “June and beyond, those look pretty promising.”

A line chart.

Fifty-six percent of Minnesotans 65 and older have received at least one shot currently, according to Health Department calculations. That’s important since officials have said the state will expand vaccination eligibility when 70 percent of that population gets a first dose.

Officials were expected to meet that goal by the end of March, but Walz on Wednesday said it will come faster than that.

Graph projecting when most Minnesotans will get vaccinated
Projections by MPR News data reporter David Montgomery.

Officials say the arrival of Johnson & Johnson doses, which require only one shot, are a game changer. More than 45,000 doses of the newly approved vaccine should be distributed in Minnesota this week.

Walz said there will be a drop off in J&J supply following the initial shipment but that the state would receive shipments of other vaccines in the meantime and the J&J flow would resume in a few more weeks.

Officials on Tuesday said that 84 percent of Minnesota’s nursing home residents had received at least an initial dose while 69 percent had been completely vaccinated; 89 percent of assisted living residents had at least one dose while 63 percent received the complete series.

A bar graph.

Minnesota currently ranks 16th among states in doses administered per 100,000 people, according to data collected by the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Pandemic metrics hold steady

While the pace of vaccinations is gaining speed, Minnesota’s COVID-19 numbers show the state stable. Hospitalization rates remain at levels last seen before the late-fall surge in cases.

Graph of new ICU and non-ICU COVID-19 hospitalizations

Known, active cases came in at 7,125, continuing a trend that stayed fairly stable through February and remains down dramatically from late November and early December, when active cases hovered around 50,000.

Active, confirmed COVID-19 cases in Minnesota

Fourteen newly reported deaths raised Minnesota’s toll to 6,521. Among those who’ve died, about 62 percent had been living in long-term care or assisted living facilities; most had underlying health problems.

Death counts have ticked up in a concerning way in recent days but it’s unclear if it’s a blip or evidence of something more concerning. The seven-day average death rate is back in double digits for the first time since Feb. 17, and has risen 4 days in a row.

New COVID-19 related deaths reported in Minnesota each day

The state has recorded 487,374 total confirmed or probable cases so far in the pandemic, including 949 reported Thursday. About 97 percent of Minnesotans known to be infected with COVID-19 in the pandemic have recovered to the point where they no longer need to be isolated.

New COVID-19 cases per day in Minnesota

Despite recent positive trends in key metrics, officials remain concerned about COVID-19 strains with the potential to spread. Minnesota has 112 confirmed cases of the so-called U.K. variant and two cases of the Brazil variant.

State health officials continue to implore Minnesotans to stay vigilant against the disease.

Cases spread across age groups, regions

People in their 20s still make up the age bracket with the state’s largest number of confirmed cases — more than 91,000 since the pandemic began, including more than 48,000 among those ages 20 to 24.

New Minnesota COVID-19 cases by age, adjusted for population

The number of high school-age youth confirmed with the disease has also grown, with more than 38,000 total cases among those ages 15 to 19 since the pandemic began.

With kids increasingly returning to school buildings and sports, Minnesota public health officials are urging Minnesota families with children to get tested every two weeks for COVID-19 now until the end of the school year.

Principal Ty Thompson shares thoughts on returning back to the classroom.

Although young people are less likely to feel the worst effects of the disease and end up hospitalized, experts worry youth will spread it unknowingly to older relatives and members of other vulnerable populations.

People can have the coronavirus and spread COVID-19 when they don’t have symptoms.

Regionally, most parts of Minnesota are down significantly from the late November and early December spike, as well as a smaller January uptick.

New COVID-19 cases by Minnesota region

Caseloads still heaviest among people of color

In Minnesota and across the country, COVID-19 has hit communities of color disproportionately hard in both cases and deaths. That’s been especially true for Minnesotans of Hispanic descent for much of the pandemic.

Even as new case counts continue to track well below their late November, early December peaks, the data shows Latino people continue to be hit hard.

New COVID-19 cases per capita by race

Distrust of the government, together with deeply rooted health and economic disparities, have hampered efforts to boost testing among communities of color, officials say, especially among unauthorized immigrants who fear their personal information may be used to deport them.

Walz has acknowledged that distrust by communities of color has been a problem during the pandemic. Officials say they will release data soon on vaccinations broken down by race and ethnicity.

Correction (March 5, 2021): An earlier version of this story described the total vaccinations as a percentage of Minnesota’s 16 and older population. The percentage includes the entire population.


COVID-19 in Minnesota

Data in these graphs are based on the Minnesota Department of Health's cumulative totals released at 11 a.m. daily. You can find more detailed statistics on COVID-19 at the Health Department website.


Latest developments

Report: COVID positivity rate in Minn.’s prisons much higher than state average

The COVID-19 positivity rate in Minnesota prisons is 2 1/2 times that of the state's overall population, a new report finds.

Just under a half million Minnesotans have tested positive for the coronavirus in the last year — less than 10 percent of the population. But Corrections Department Ombudsman Mark Haase said in three of the state's prisons, more than 70 percent of inmates have been infected, leading to lockdowns and other restrictions. Minnesota has cut its prison population 19 percent as part of a COVID-19 mitigation strategy.

The Department of Corrections says 11 inmates have died of COVID-19.

"As a state, we have failed to protect people in our correctional facilities and staff from a disparate impact of the virus,” Haase said. "The impact on people in prison is a lot more severe than those of us outside. We can stay home. We can work from home and mitigate it that way while still interacting with our family, communicating, going outside. We're not on essentially what's solitary confinement."

Haase added that while he found no evidence of official wrongdoing, the department is not ready for any future disease outbreaks that could be more severe. More than a quarter of Minnesota prison staff have also been confirmed positive for COVID-19, but no staff have died.

The Corrections Department has started vaccinating high-risk inmates, those over 65, as well as prison staff.

— Matt Sepic | MPR News

Vikings’ Eagan training center to become a J&J vaccine clinic

The Minnesota Vikings are hosting a Johnson & Johnson vaccine clinic in Eagan, Minn.

State health officials say they'll have 13,400 doses of the new vaccine ready to administer in Eagan over the coming week. The allotment is nearly a third of the first shipment of the J&J vaccine to Minnesota.

The Vikings are opening up their Twin Cities Orthopedics Performance Center — their training center and headquarters — to accommodate vaccine recipients who must be health care workers or age 65 and older.

The shots are not available on a walk-up basis. The Vikings and health officials are directing people to the state's vaccine connector and vaccine locator sites to make appointments.

The Eagan vaccination event joins five other community vaccination sites around Minnesota in Minneapolis, Duluth, Rochester, Bloomington and St. Paul.

— Tim Nelson | MPR News


Top headlines

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