April 10 update on COVID-19 in MN: Vaccinations, cases, ICU needs all climbing

A woman points at a card a man is holding.
Black Nurses Rock member nurse Lily Thomas, left, tells Chinaker Kinapoe to keep his vaccine card and return in four weeks for a second dose at a vaccine clinic at the Power of People Leadership Institute in Minneapolis last month.
Evan Frost | MPR News file

3 things to know

  • Hospital admissions, active case trends highest in months; vaccination trends hit a record high

  • About 45 percent of adults with at least one dose; 30 percent completely vaccinated

  • Vaccination effort means Minnesota likely won’t see as severe a spike in cases as it saw in November, health commissioner says

Updated: 11:25 a.m.

The calendar says April, but Minnesota’s COVID-19 data feels more like winter.

Active case counts haven’t been this high since late December. Hospitalizations and intensive needs are climbing to where they were back in mid-January. Daily deaths are trending at February levels.

There’s a crucial difference, though, between winter and today. Minnesota’s vaccination pace is firmly on the upswing, with daily shots trending at an all-time high and the state seemingly on track to have 50 percent of adults vaccinated within two weeks.

State health officials on Saturday reported a record single-day total of 89,214 vaccine doses administered, pushing the number of Minnesota adults with at least one dose of a vaccine close to 2 million.

Here are Minnesota’s current COVID-19 statistics:

  • 6,944 deaths (12 new)

  • 540,277 positive cases (2,454 newly reported); 95 percent off isolation

  • 45.2 percent of adults with at least one dose; 30.2 percent completely vaccinated

  • About 84 percent of Minnesotans 65 and older with at least one vaccine dose

The lingering question yet to be answered: Can the state vaccinate enough Minnesotans quickly enough to hold off a big surge in the disease as variants get a stronger foothold in the state?

Vaccination trend hits record high

Saturday’s Health Department data showed more than 1.3 million Minnesotans fully inoculated nearly 2 million — 1,994,347 — have received at least one dose, including about 84 percent of residents age 65 and older.

A line chart.

The agency reported nearly 90,000 more shots given. The seven-day trend is the highest since vaccinations began in late December.

Newly reported COVID-19 vaccine doses in Minnesota

Thanks to the vaccination push, Minnesota likely won’t see as severe a spike in cases this spring as it saw in November and December, but the pandemic isn’t over, Minnesota Health Commissioner Jan Malcolm told reporters earlier this week.

“We’re definitely not out of the woods yet,” Malcolm added, noting that the seven-day positive test rate for the disease is back up at 6 percent. A 5 percent rate is a warning sign of growing spread.

Graph projecting when most Minnesotans will get vaccinated
Projections by MPR News data reporter David Montgomery

Hospitalizations climbing, skewing younger

Saturday’s COVID-19 numbers reinforce Malcolm’s warnings that the pandemic isn’t over.

Hospitalizations, for instance, have climbed significantly in the past few weeks to levels not seen since January. The most recent agency data shows 595 people with COVID-19 in Minnesota hospitals; 134 needed intensive care.

ICU needs have doubled over the past month.

Graph of new ICU and non-ICU COVID-19 hospitalizations

The age of those needing hospitalization has been skewing younger. The average age of people hospitalized during the pandemic is 65, but it was 57 years old from March 23 to 29, Dr. Ruth Lynfield, the state’s epidemiologist, said this week.

The number of known, active cases has been trending upward over the past few weeks, with more than 19,000 as of Saturday’s report — marking more than three weeks with active daily counts above 10,000.

Active, confirmed COVID-19 cases in Minnesota

It’s also the first time since before Christmas that active cases were greater than 19,000.

While still low compared to late November and early December, the rising trend is notable given the worries over the rise of the highly contagious U.K. COVID-19 variant, which state health officials suspect is driving the current upswing.

The state has now confirmed about 1,600 cases of the U.K. strain, Lynfield said Thursday, adding that it’s linked to five deaths here and likely responsible for the majority of the spread happening now.

Twelve deaths reported on Saturday raised Minnesota’s overall pandemic death toll to 6,944. Among those who’ve died, about 62 percent had been living in long-term care or assisted living facilities; most had underlying health problems.

New COVID-19 related deaths reported in Minnesota each day

The state has recorded 540,277 total confirmed or probable cases so far in the pandemic, including 2,454 posted Saturday. About 95 percent of Minnesotans known to be infected with COVID-19 in the pandemic have recovered to the point where they no longer need to be isolated.

New COVID-19 cases per day in Minnesota

Regional hot spots bubble

Regionally, all parts of Minnesota are in better shape than they were in late November and early December. The latest numbers, however, show cases creeping up across the state.

New COVID-19 cases by Minnesota region

Public health leaders continue to keep watch on clusters popping up over in recent weeks in the southwest Twin Cities metro area as well as Mankato in southern Minnesota, in central Minnesota and around Aurora and Ely in the northeast.

Cases spread across age groups

People in their 20s still make up the age bracket with the state’s largest number of confirmed cases — more than 101,000 since the pandemic began, including more than 52,000 among those ages 20 to 24.

New Minnesota COVID-19 cases by age, adjusted for population

The number of high school-age youth confirmed with the disease has also grown, with more than 43,000 total cases among those ages 15 to 19 since the pandemic began.

With kids increasingly returning to school buildings and sports, Minnesota public health officials are urging Minnesota families with children to get tested every two weeks for COVID-19 until the end of the school year.

Although young people are less likely to feel the worst effects of the disease and end up hospitalized, experts worry they will spread it unknowingly to older relatives and members of other vulnerable populations. Those with the coronavirus can spread it when they don’t have symptoms.

Caseloads among people of color

In Minnesota and across the country, COVID-19 has hit communities of color disproportionately hard in both cases and deaths. That’s been especially true for Minnesotans of Hispanic descent for much of the pandemic.

New COVID-19 cases per capita by race

Even as new case counts continue to track well below their late November, early December peaks, the data shows Latino people continue to be hit hard.

Distrust of the government, together with deeply rooted health and economic disparities, have hampered efforts to boost testing among communities of color, officials say, especially among unauthorized immigrants who fear their personal information may be used to deport them.

Officials have acknowledged that distrust by communities of color has been a problem during the pandemic. They’ve offered up some data on vaccinations broken down by race and ethnicity that they’re updating regularly.

COVID-19 in Minnesota

Data in these graphs are based on the Minnesota Department of Health's cumulative totals released at 11 a.m. daily. You can find more detailed statistics on COVID-19 at the Health Department website.

Top headlines

As vaccine eligibility expands, one southern MN health department recalibrates: Human Services of Faribault and Martin Counties, a two-county public health department in southern Minnesota, requested 300 doses of vaccine to administer this week. But they’re struggling to fill appointment slots — and dealing with no-shows. So they’re asking the state Health Department to reallocate their share.

COVID-19 deaths of tribal elders leave a void: Native Americans have the highest COVID-19 mortality rate of any population in the U.S. And for tribes working to revitalize language and culture, the loss of elders to COVID-19 leaves an especially painful void.

Even with prospect of aid, Minnesota school budgets in dire shape: The coronavirus hasn’t just upended classrooms around the state — it’s wreaking havoc on district budgets, which are largely determined by enrollment. State and federal lawmakers are considering and passing billions of new dollars in education funding, but Minnesota districts are still laying off staff and closing schools.

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