Shower chances favor northern Minn. Sunday a.m., then shift south p.m.

Gusty winds

Our average Twin Cities high temp is 59 degrees this time of year. Metro area highs will reach the low to mid 60s this afternoon. Sunday highs reach the 60s in roughly the southern half of Minnesota plus portions of western Wisconsin:

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Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Highs behind the cold front in northwestern and north-central Minnesota only reach the 40s.

Sunday wind gusts of over 25 mph are expected in northwestern Minnesota:

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Sunday 1 p.m. forecast wind gusts
National Weather Service

Plotted gusts are in knots, with 17 knots equal to 19.6 mph. Wind gusts of 17-23 mph are on tap for eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin.

Rain/snow chances

Periods of rain showers are expected in much of northern Minnesota this Sunday morning. The showers could mix with a few snow flakes at times.  Rain showers spread to the east and southeast Sunday afternoon. A few showers could arrive in parts of the Twin Cities metro area late Sunday afternoon, with the shower chance lingering into Sunday evening. We could also see a mix of rain showers and a few flakes overnight Sunday night.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern Sunday and Sunday evening:

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Simulated radar Sunday and Sunday evening
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the MPR network, and you’ll see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

Update

The Updraft blog will be updated around 10:15 a.m., with a look at the week ahead.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.

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