Mild Sunday temps, with a shower chance in the far south

Summery week ahead

There were several severe thunderstorm warnings late Saturday afternoon in west-central Wisconsin and parts of southeastern Minnesota. Large hail prompted the warnings. A few additional strong to severe thunderstorms are possible in parts of western Wisconsin and southeastern Minnesota this Saturday evening.

The largest hail report that I saw Saturday was half-dollar sized hail (about 1.25 inch diameter) at 5:20 p.m. Saturday 5 miles northeast of Roberts, Wisconsin, in St. Croix County.

Most of the Twin Cities 7-county metro area will avoid the Saturday evening thunderstorms.

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the MPR network, and you’ll see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

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Quiet Sunday

Most of us will have a rain-free Sunday. There may be a few scattered showers and possibly an isolated thunderstorm in far southern Minnesota Sunday afternoon and Sunday evening.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential rain pattern for the daylight hours of Sunday:

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Simulated radar for daylight hours of Sunday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

Temperature trends

Our average Twin Cities high temperature on May 16 is 69 degrees. We’ll be several degrees warmer than that this Sunday, with parts of the metro area reaching the upper 70s. Sunday highs will be mainly in the 70s, with some lower 80s in far northwestern Minnesota:

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Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

There’ll be some 60s near Lake Superior.

Sunday afternoon wind gusts will be mainly in the 10-15 mph range:

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Sunday 1 p.m. forecast wind gusts
National Weather Service

Gusts over 20 mph are possible in far northwestern Minnesota.

Back to temperatures, Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to reach around 80 degrees on Monday, followed by upper 70s Tuesday and Wednesday, then around 80 on Thursday and Friday. Dew points will be in the 60s Thursday and Friday, so it’ll feel summery.

Above-normal high temps are also a good bet next weekend into the start of the following week. The NWS Climate Prediction Center shows a tendency for above-normal temps in Minnesota and Wisconsin from May 21 through May 25:

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Temperature outlook May 21 through May 25
NWS Climate Prediction Center

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.