July 14 update on COVID-19 in MN: Case counts edge higher; deaths stay low

A woman receives a vaccine shot.
Daylynn Alm, of Albert Lea, Minn., receives a Moderna COVID-19 vaccination from RN Molly Conley at the Austin Community Festival on June 16 in Austin, Minn.
Jerry Olson for MPR News file

3 things to know

  • New, active COVID-19 cases edge higher

  • Deaths trending near early-pandemic levels

  • 16 and older with at least one vaccine shot: 67.6 percent

Updated: 11:54 a.m.

Minnesota’s seeing COVID-19 case counts move higher, but there’s nothing yet to suggest the state is headed for another surge like it saw in mid-April. While new daily cases are up, key metrics continue to hover around relatively low levels.

Hospitalizations are staying roughly steady at about 100, even slipping below 100 in Wednesday’s Health Department report. The state averaged fewer than three deaths daily in the last reporting week, down near levels not seen since the earliest weeks of the pandemic.

That’s not to say there aren’t concerns.

Cases are up among Black Minnesotans, who have a much lower vaccination rate compared to whites or Minnesotans of Asian descent. Officials are also concerned about the growth of the COVID-19 delta variant among the state’s unvaccinated population.

Overall conditions, though, remains significantly better than in mid-April. More Minnesotans are vaccinated now, and the percentage of COVID-19 tests coming back positive averaged about 1 percent over the past reporting week, far below the 5 percent officials find concerning.

Numbers edge up but still near pandemic lows

Known, active COVID-19 cases in Minnesota came in at 1,123 in Wednesday’s report, although the seven-day trend remains under 1,000. Counts are down dramatically since May 1, when Minnesota had more than 15,000 active cases.

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Active, confirmed COVID-19 cases in Minnesota

Hospitalizations have stayed relatively steady the past few weeks — 98 patients are in Minnesota hospitals with COVID-19, with 22 in intensive care. That’s likely to increase somewhat given the recent uptick in caseloads.

Graph of new ICU and non-ICU COVID-19 hospitalizations

Three newly reported deaths on Wednesday raised Minnesota’s pandemic toll to 7,630. Among those who have died, about 59 percent had been living in long-term care or assisted living facilities; most had underlying health problems.

New COVID-19 related deaths reported in Minnesota each day

The state’s recorded 607,069 total confirmed or probable cases in the pandemic, including the 208 posted Wednesday. Roughly 99 percent of Minnesotans known to be infected with COVID-19 have recovered to the point where they no longer need to isolate.

New COVID-19 cases per day in Minnesota

Regionally, caseloads are up in the southeast and in east-central Minnesota, as well as the Twin Cities area. There’s also an uptick now in western parts of the state. Still, conditions are far better than during the mid-April wave and the huge late fall surge.

New COVID-19 cases by Minnesota region

People in their 20s make up the age bracket with the state’s largest number of confirmed cases — more than 112,000 since the pandemic began.

Although young people are less likely to feel the worst effects of the disease and end up hospitalized, experts worry they can spread it unknowingly to older relatives and members of other vulnerable populations.

Vaccination pace crawls

About 3 million residents 16 and older now have at least one vaccine dose.

More than 2.8 million are completely vaccinated. That’s about 64.5 percent of the state’s 16-and-older population completely vaccinated and 67.6 percent with at least one shot, including 91 percent of people 65 and older.

Add in nearly 113,000 12-to-15-year-olds with at least one dose and Minnesota has topped 3 million residents with one or more shots. About 53 percent of the state’s total population is now completely vaccinated.

Graph showing total COVID-19 vaccinations by age

While Minnesota’s vaccination rate recently showed an uptick, the pace has fallen dramatically since peaking in April and continues to stumble ahead.

A line chart.

At the current pace, it appears it will be late August or early September before Minnesota has 70 percent of residents 16 and older with at least one vaccine dose — a target officials once hoped to reach by July 1.

Graph showing when Minnesota is on target to vaccinated 70% of adults

Minnesota’s also seeing big regional gaps in vaccination rates, with most counties outside the Twin Cities region still below 70 percent of adults vaccinated.

Map of Minnesota COVID-19 eligible vaccination rate

Editor's note: With the pandemic largely in check, we’ll be ending our daily "Latest on COVID-19 in MN" story on Saturday. In its place, we'll write a weekly summary story that we'll post on Fridays. You'll still be able to find updated graphics and data on our COVID-19 story collection page. And you can count on us to continue covering the pandemic.

COVID-19 in Minnesota

Data in these graphs are based on the Minnesota Department of Health's cumulative totals released at 11 a.m. daily. You can find more detailed statistics on COVID-19 at the Health Department website.