Severe weather targets southern Minnesota Monday evening

The first half of Monday stays quiet across the state, then rain and a severe weather risk return by late afternoon.

Monday’s forecast

Under mostly clear skies overnight, much of Minnesota is off to a brisk start Monday morning, with temperatures ranging from 30s in the Arrowhead to 50s south.

Sunnier skies through the morning plus a predominantly southerly wind flow will help most of the state make it into the 70s for highs Monday.

Northwestern Minnesota is already seeing a few more clouds Monday morning and a couple isolated showers due to a disturbance. The rest of the state can expect clouds to increase by the afternoon as a storm system moves in. The low pressure with that storm will track across southern Minnesota overnight.

Rain will move in and out quickly, pushing into western Minnesota by Monday afternoon, and east of the state by early Tuesday morning. Because of the forecast track of the storm, the highest precipitation is likely to target south-central Minnesota, including the Twin Cities, with a corridor of up to an inch of rain. 

Isolated higher amounts are probable in areas that see heavier downpours with thunderstorms.

Some of the storms are projected to become severe. Isolated severe storms are possible through central Minnesota, and more scattered severe weather is a risk southeast, including a couple possible tornadoes.

We will keep you updated on MPR as anything develops.

Calmer weather returns Tuesday.

That extended forecast will be updated around 9 a.m.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:48 a.m. Monday through Friday morning.