Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Mother's Day rain update, plus a look at summery temps this week

Severe weather outlook updated

I know, you’d like much nicer weather for Mother’s Day.

Periods of rain will continue into early Sunday afternoon in much of northern and eastern Minnesota plus western Wisconsin. An isolated thunderstorm is also possible. The rain becomes more scattered and intermittent in most areas by mid-afternoon. There will still be a chance of scattered showers and an isolated thunderstorm in Minnesota and western Wisconsin during the late afternoon and evening hours.

Sunday night and Monday thunder chances

A batch of showers and thunderstorms is expected to move into western Minnesota late Sunday evening and spread eastward overnight, lingering into Monday morning in northern and eastern Minnesota plus western Wisconsin.  A severe t-storm is possible in western Minnesota Sunday night. The NWS Storm Prediction Center shows a marginal risk (shaded darker green) of severe weather in western Minnesota overnight Sunday night:

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Sunday night severe weather outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center

Marginal risk means that an isolated severe thunderstorm is possible.

Additional showers and thunderstorms are possible in eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin late Monday afternoon and Monday evening. There is a slight chance (shaded yellow) of severe weather during that period in parts of southeastern Minnesota and southwestern Wisconsin:

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Monday afternoon/evening severe weather potential
NWS Storm Prediction Center

An isolated severe thunderstorm is possible Monday afternoon/evening in the dark-green shaded areas of eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin.

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News network, and you can see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

Unsettled weather continues through much of the week, with scattered storms possible each day. Check forecast updates for the timing of those t-storm chances.

Flood warning update

Flood warnings (shaded light green in the graphic below) continue along the Red River and in several additional spots in northwestern Minnesota.

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Flood warnings (green)
National Weather Service

You can find info on the flood warnings in northwestern Minnesota at the NWS site here.

NOAA’s Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service site shows river gauges across our region. You can click on any gauge at that site to get recent and current river levels plus the forecast levels over the next few days.

Temperature trends

Sunday highs happened well before daybreak in many locations. Our Sunday high in the Twin Cities happened around 1 a.m., when the temperature was 63 degrees. The Sunday daytime high will be close to 60 degrees in the Twin Cities. Much of Minnesota will see Sunday afternoon temps peak in the upper 50s to around 60. Some spots in far western Minnesota could reach the lower 60s. It’ll be breezy through the afternoon and into tonight.

Monday highs reach the 80s in roughly the southern half of Minnesota plus parts of western Wisconsin:

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Monday forecast highs
National Weather Service

I wouldn’t be surprised to see a 90 somewhere in far southern Minnesota Monday afternoon. Dew points in the warmest areas will be in the sticky 60s…so it will feel very summery

Monday afternoon wind gusts could top 40 mph in eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin:

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Monday 1 p.m. forecast wind gusts
National Weather Service

Forecast wind gusts are in knots, with 36 knots equal to 41.4 mph. Higher gusts can be expected near any thunderstorms that develop.

Back to temperatures, Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to reach the mid 70s on Tuesday, followed by lower 80s Wednesday, around 90 Thursday and around 80 on Friday.

Weather nugget

Our official Twin Cities high temperature (measured at MSP airport) did not reach 90 degrees last May. MSP airport recorded 12 days with highs of 90 degrees or warmer last June, including a stretch of 9 consecutive days of 90 or warmer:

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June 2021 Twin Cities weather data
NOAA data, via the Minnesota State Climatology Office

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.