Unsettled pattern next several days

Showers Tuesday across southern Minnesota

5 day precip
Forecast 5 day total precipitation
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center

Southern Minnesota will see showers Tuesday while northern Minnesota will remain dry. Thunderstorms will pop up in northern Minnesota Wednesday afternoon.

Showers mainly across southern Minnesota

A low-pressure area centered south of Minnesota is spreading showers into southern Minnesota Tuesday but sparing northern Minnesota.

sat loop
Our latest storm system is centered south of Minnesota
College of DuPage

Many rivers of course are high in northern Minnesota. Here’s a photo of the Embarrass River in northeastern Minnesota outside of its banks. The river should be meandering through the swirl in the center.

The flooded Embarrass River on Sunday
Courtney Celley (@CourtneyCelley)

The Twin Cities will largely remain dry until late in the day Tuesday when showers will spread a bit more north and east Tuesday evening and overnight.

Tues precip times
Tuesday precipitation will be largely across southern Minnesota
College of DuPage

Thunderstorms become more prevalent

On Wednesday southern Minnesota will remain mainly dry but northern Minnesota will see some pop-up thunderstorms in the afternoon. An isolated thundershower is even possible in the Twin Cities late Wednesday.

wed precip 2
Showers and thunder develop Wednesday
College of DuPage

We’re continuing to keep an eye on Thursday for possible severe weather. We have a slight risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe storms as moisture and instability return to Minnesota.

Thursday's severe weather risk (level 2 of 5)
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Storm Prediction Center

The combination of higher dew points, and some dynamics aloft will create more energy available for storms. We call this convective available potential energy, or CAPE.

Forecast potential energy available for thunderstorms Thursday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

After Thursday we’re in for a cooler, showery pattern with more clouds as an upper-level low lingers into the weekend.

6 to 10 day
6- to 10-day temperature outlook
NOAA Climate Prediction Center

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