Cooler but still well above normal this week

MPR News helps you turn down the noise and build shared understanding. Turn up your support for this public resource and keep trusted journalism accessible to all. 

Turn Up Your Support

Ahead of a prime-time January 6th Committee hearing Thursday, a majority of Americans are paying attention and blame former President Donald Trump for what happened that day in 2021, but don't think he will be prosecuted, according to the 

A majority of independents (55 percent) and 4 in 5 Democrats, but less than half of Republicans (44 percent), said they are paying at least some attention to the hearings.

A majority (57 percent) said Trump is to blame a great deal or a good amount for the Capitol riot, including 92 percent of Democrats and 57 percent of independents, but just 18 percent of Republicans. The 57 percent overall figure is up slightly — and within the 4.1 percentage-point margin of error — from last December (53 percent). 

Half of respondents said they think Trump should be charged with a crime, including 9 in 10 Democrats but only 10 percent of Republicans. Independents are split, 49 percent to 46 percent. 

Six in 10 respondents said they don't think Trump will face any charges. 

There has been only some, if any, movement in people's views of what happened at the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. Half called it an insurrection and a threat to democracy, statistically unchanged from December. 

A quarter, including 40% of Republicans, described it as an unfortunate event, but one in the past, so no need to worry about it anymore.

About 1 in 5, including another 40 percent of Republicans, said it was a political protest protected under the First Amendment.

Notably, a majority of independents (52 percent) now say it was an insurrection and a threat to democracy, up 9 points from December. 

The hearings haven't seemed to budge Republicans' views, though. In December, just 10% said Jan. 6 was an insurrection and threat to democracy. Now it's 12 percent — statistically unchanged.

Thursday night's hearing, which the committee says is its last, at least for now, will focus on what Trump was doing — and not doing — while the Capitol was under attack.

As a voting issue, the hearings don't appear to be breaking through, either.

The top issue overall continues to be inflation, which is at its highest point in decades, with Republicans and independents overwhelmingly saying so.

For Democrats, abortion is the top motivating issue right now, with the Jan. 6 hearing second, followed by guns and health care. Inflation is fifth on the list for Democrats.

These hearings don't look like a game changer for this year's midterms, with inflation continuing to be a top concern for swing voters. 

But this all might be more relevant to how people vote in the next presidential election, with Trump openly talking about running again. 

In this survey, Trump is still viewed highly unfavorably. Just 38 percent have a favorable opinion of him, and 58 percent have an unfavorable one. 

Biden's favorability wasn't assessed in this survey, but his is marginally better than Trump's 

Trump, though, sees an opening against Biden, whom he sees as weak. 

Biden's approval rating is just 36 percent

 in this survey, his lowest in the Marist poll since taking office. That's largely because of a lack of enthusiasm among Biden's own party.

In these polarizing times, it's hard for a candidate to do well without his base fully behind him.

For all the buzz that Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has gotten, he has some work to do on his name identification — 33 percent viewed him favorably and 39 percent unfavorably, but 28 percent didn't have an opinion of him or didn't know who he was.

Former Vice President Mike Pence is also eyeing a potential run, but his ratings aren't much better than Trump's — just 37 percent viewed him favorably and 50 percent unfavorably.

Meanwhile, January 6th Committee Vice Chair Liz Cheney, the Republican from Wyoming, who has openly defied Trump, is viewed favorably by just 13 percent of Republicans, but 60 percent of Democrats.

She was viewed favorably overall by 34 percent of respondents and unfavorably by 43 percent, and almost a quarter weren't sure or hadn't heard of her.

The survey of 1,160 adults was conducted July 11 through 17 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points. Respondents were reached using live callers via cellphone and landline.

Politics and Government News

Domenico Montanaro

Author

As the Jan. 6 hearings have played out, there has been only some, if any, movement in people's views of what happened on Jan. 6, 2021, but independents' views have changed since a December poll.

A majority thinks Trump is to blame for Jan. 6 but won't face charges, poll finds

Go Deeper.

Like this?

News you can use in your inbox