Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Cooler Friday, quiet weekend; big storm developing next week

Recent thaw took a bite of Minnesota's snowpack

24 hr T change
24 hour difference in temperature from Thursday to Friday morning
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

Highs Friday will be near or slightly below normal in the teens and 20s across Minnesota with decreasing clouds. The weekend will be quiet, but early next week a big storm develops that could bring snow, rain and freezing precipitation.

Thaw took a bite out of the snow pack, now it’s briefly cooler

Temperatures are about 10 to 20 degrees colder Friday morning compared to Thursday morning. We’ll see highs in the teens and low 20s across Minnesota Friday afternoon.

fri highs 9a
Forecast high temperatures Friday
National Weather Service

Overnight lows will once again be in the teens and single digits, but close to normal lows.

Fri night 9a
Forecast lows Friday night into early Saturday
National Weather Service

This week’s thaw cut 3 inches of snow depth in the Twin Cities, while St. Cloud and Duluth lost 1 inch. Here’s a view of the snowpack at the start and end of this week:

snow cover compare
Comparison of snow cover Monday to Friday this week after the thaw
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center

Note the retreat of the snow on the southeastern edge in southern Wisconsin also.

Milder weekend; big storm next week

After colder temperatures Friday, milder temperatures slide back into at least southern Minnesota for the weekend.

forecast T anom
Forecast surface temperature anomalies (difference from normal) Friday into the weekend. Below-normal temperatures Friday give way to above-normal temps.
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

High temperatures will be back in the 30s across southern Minnesota and 20s in northern Minnesota.

sat highs 9a
Forecast high temperatures Saturday
National Weather Service

We could have a few scattered light snow showers on New Year’s Eve, but it looks mostly like a dusting.

snowfall SAT
Forecast snowfall late Saturday
National Weather Service

The bigger story will become the developing storm system for Monday into Wednesday next week. A large storm system with lots of moisture content will have the potential to create a lot of rain and heavy snow for the Upper Midwest.

mon-wed storm
Forecast precipitation Monday into Wednesday next week from one model. Tracks vary and some places might see more rain or more snow.
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

The track is still very uncertain as the models differ substantially and with warm air around, every mile will count. Here’s an example:

snow models
Forecast snowfall from three models show the big variations in track for Monday into Wednesday.
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Global Forecast System model (top) has snow much farther north into northern Minnesota with rain across southeastern Minnesota, while European and Canadian models have the swath snow south.

All the models create an area of possible ice in between the snow and rain.