Rain east, wintry mix west and north on Monday; snow most areas Monday night/Tuesday
Highest snow totals to the west and north
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Sunday felt more like March than January.
The Sunday high temperature at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport was 37 degrees. The average Jan. 15 Twin Cities high is just 23 degrees. Most of Minnesota and western Wisconsin had Sunday highs in the 30s, and mild temps will linger into the start of the coming week in many areas.
Temperature trends
High temps will be in the 30s in most locations Monday, on Martin Luther King Jr. Day:
There’ll be some upper 20s in far northwestern Minnesota.
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Tuesday highs will range from upper teens in far northwestern Minnesota to 30s in eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin:
Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to reach the upper 30s on Monday, followed by mid-30s Tuesday then lower 30s Wednesday and Thursday and upper 20s on Friday. Highs in the upper 20s are expected next weekend.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center shows a tendency for above-normal temperatures across much of Minnesota and Wisconsin next weekend and into the start of the following week:
Rain and snow are heading toward us
A low pressure system will spread precipitation across much of Minnesota and western Wisconsin from late Sunday night through Monday. It will begin as mainly rain to the east and southeast and a wintry mix of snow, light freezing rain and rain to the west and north. The areas that initially see rain on Monday will see a transition to a rain/snow mix Monday evening and then all snow into Tuesday.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from Sunday night through Tuesday afternoon:
The Twin Cities metro area will see extended periods of rain on Monday, then a mix Monday evening turning to all snow late Monday night and continuing as light snow into early Tuesday. Metro area snow accumulations are expected to be generally one inch or less. There could be some 2 to 3 inch snow totals Monday into Tuesday from portions of southwestern Minnesota through much of central and northeastern Minnesota:
Far northwestern Wisconsin could see some 2 inch or higher totals as well.
Changes in the track of the low-pressure system and the temperature profile within the system will alter snow amounts, so check forecast updates.
You can find updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News network, and on the MPR News live weather blog.
Advisories
Winter weather advisories for snow and light freezing rain begin at midnight Sunday night and continue into Tuesday for portions of western Minnesota:
Here are details of the advisory in portions of southwestern Minnesota:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD 302 PM CST Sun Jan 15 2023 MNZ071-072-080-097-SDZ039-040-055-056-160600- /O.NEW.KFSD.WW.Y.0002.230116T0600Z-230117T1800Z/ Lincoln-Lyon-Murray-Pipestone-Kingsbury-Brookings-Lake-Moody- 302 PM CST Sun Jan 15 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of southwest Minnesota and east central South Dakota. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to noon CST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.
Here are details of the advisory in portions of west-central Minnesota:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 318 PM CST Sun Jan 15 2023 MNZ047-054>056-064-160530- /O.NEW.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.230116T0600Z-230117T1200Z/ Stevens-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-Yellow Medicine- Including the cities of Morris, Madison, Benson, Montevideo, and Granite Falls 318 PM CST Sun Jan 15 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Stevens, Lac Qui Parle, Swift, Chippewa and Yellow Medicine Counties. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 AM CST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin.
Additional advisories are possible as this weather situation develops. Check forecast updates Monday morning.
Programming note
You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. Saturday and Sunday.
