Hot weekend; storm chances increase by Monday-Tuesday
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That certainly was an extremely dry May-June period for just about all of Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Rainfalls have been spotty, and the official weather station at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport seemed to miss out on some of the showers. It recorded less than an inch of rain in June (.93 inches), making it the second-driest June of record.
The Twin Cities’ rainfall deficit for May-June was a whopping 6 inches. That’s a lot of rain to make up over the rest of the summer.
We haven’t been getting much rain because the west-to-east storm track has been persistently well to our south much deeper into the summer season than normal. Saturday’s storms are beginning from Iowa to Texas at the west end and are spreading eastward toward areas from Georgia to the Northeast.
Upcoming rainfalls for Minnesota and western Wisconsin
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The stormy pattern to our south will weaken over the weekend. A northern storm track will begin to develop and slowly bring showers and thunderstorms toward us from the west.
Late Saturday will see just a few isolated showers over northern Minnesota.
Sunday will bring isolated showers to northern Minnesota. Also note the forecasts of heavy rain (red stripes) from Indiana to Maine and the possibilities of severe storms (yellow stripes) from Tennessee and Kentucky to Washington DC and New Jersey.
There is a marginal (level 1 of 5) risk of severe weather in the northwest corner of the state Sunday evening.
A better chance of scattered thunderstorms will build into western and northern Minnesota on Monday. A larger marginal risk area for severe weather has been posted from west central to northeastern Minnesota late in the day and maybe into Monday night.
Widespread but probably scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely Monday night and on Tuesday, the Fourth of July. Strong storms are possible but no severe weather risk areas have been posted at this early date.
Continued hot into Monday
High temperatures on Sunday will be from the 80s across northern Minnesota to the low 90s in the south. The Twin Cities should have a high near 90.
Monday will be a bit hotter except for northwestern Minnesota which will cool some behind a cold front. High temperatures should reach the low to mid 90s across the south. The Twin Cities are likely to see a high around 95.
Starting to turn cooler
Tuesday will be cooler, especially in northwestern Minnesota, as that cold front advances farther east.
Cooler temperatures will arrive for all of Minnesota by Wednesday. Expect a few cooler-than-normal-days with highs mainly in the 70s statewide and for western Wisconsin.
