Gusty winds Thursday, temps plummet by evening; weekend looks dry
Wind advisory in some areas Thursday
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Updated 11:20 a.m.
Wednesday was incredibly enjoyable with sunshine, light winds and temperatures that were warm for November.
Thursday’s temperatures will also be unusually warm but conditions will be windy as a low-pressure system tracks through northern Minnesota and into Canada.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the surface pressure pattern plus the potential precipitation pattern Thursday afternoon and evening:
Parts of far northern Minnesota could see a few rain showers and snow showers.
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The temperature loop below shows how 40s (shaded green) surge southward later Thursday afternoon and Thursday evening.
Parts of the Twin Cities metro area could see temps into the the 40s as early as 6 p.m. Thursday.
Wind advisories
We’ll have strong winds across most of Minnesota and western Wisconsin Thursday, with gusts of 40 to 45 mph at times.
An expanded wind advisory for southern Minnesota now includes the entire Twin Cities metro area plus much of western Wisconsin until 7 p.m. Thursday evening:
Here are details of the wind advisory:
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 1117 AM CST Thu Nov 16 2023 MNZ053-060>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-170100- /O.CON.KMPX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-231117T0100Z/ Chisago-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-Yellow Medicine-Renville- McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur- Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault- Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Chippewa- Eau Claire- Including the cities of Redwood Falls, St Paul, Red Wing, Blaine, Waseca, St Peter, Faribault, Victoria, Granite Falls, Osceola, River Falls, Minneapolis, New Ulm, Hastings, Chippewa Falls, Menomonie, Eau Claire, Fairmont, Chaska, Ladysmith, Blue Earth, Hudson, Rice Lake, Mankato, Owatonna, Shakopee, Le Sueur, Albert Lea, Stillwater, Durand, Olivia, St James, Chanhassen, Gaylord, Hutchinson, and Center City 1117 AM CST Thu Nov 16 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph in east central through southern MN. Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph in western WI. Gusts up to 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, south central, southeast, southwest, and west central Minnesota and northwest and west central Wisconsin. * WHEN...Until 7 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Secure outdoor objects.
A wind advisory runs from 6 p.m. Thursday to midnight along the North Shore of Lake Superior:
Gale warnings have been posted Thursday afternoon through Thursday night for Lake Superior.
You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the MPR News network.
Quiet weekend
Friday, Saturday and Sunday look mostly dry. There could be some scattered rain showers in southwestern Minnesota late Sunday.
NOAA’s North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from 6 a.m. Saturday to 6 p.m. Sunday:
Parts of Minnesota could see some rain showers and snow showers Monday afternoon into Monday night. Check for updates.
Temperature trends
The average Twin Cities high temperature is 42 degrees this time of year. After metro area highs in the 60s Thursday, we’ll see Friday highs in the lower 40s.
Most of Minnesota and western Wisconsin will have highs in the 40s on Friday:
There will be some 30s in far northern Minnesota.
The southern half of Minnesota will see highs in the 50s on Saturday, with 40s to the north:
Some spots along the Red River Valley in northwestern Minnesota will also reach 50 on Saturday.
Sunday high temps will be in the 50s across most of the southern half of Minnesota and up around Moorhead:
Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to reach the upper 40s on Monday, followed by around 40 degrees on Tuesday, then lower 30s on Wednesday.
Weather nugget
The average Twin Cities temperature (which is the average of all the daily high temperatures and low temperatures) is running 4.9 degrees warmer than normal this November. This is likely to end up as the seventh consecutive warmer-than-normal month in the Twin Cities.
Programming note
You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.
