Above-normal temps through Wednesday; snow drought update

Flakes possible Wednesday night

Feb. 11, 2024 in Minneapolis
Ron Trenda/MPR News

It was a gorgeous sun-splashed Sunday across roughly the southern half of Minnesota. It was nice to see the sunshine after Saturday’s clouds.

The Sunday high temp at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport was 39 degrees. The average Twin Cities high temp is 27 degrees this time of year.

Much of Minnesota had Sunday highs in the 30s. There were some 40s in west-central and southwestern Minnesota and in parts of south-central Minnesota. Far northern Minnesota saw mainly 20s.

Monday high temps will be mainly in the 30s, but some spots in the Twin Cities metro area and southern Minnesota could touch 40 degrees:

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Monday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Far northern Minnesota will see some upper 20s.

Tuesday highs will be mainly in the 30s, with upper 20s in parts of far northeastern Minnesota:

Tuesday forecast highs
National Weather Service

A few spots in southwestern Minnesota could touch 40 degrees.

Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to reach the lower 40s on Wednesday, followed by mid 30s Thursday and mid 20s on Friday. The official Twin Cities high temp hasn’t been in the 20s since Jan. 21. Some forecast models show metro area highs in the 20s next weekend…we’ll see if that changes.

Flake chance north Sunday night

Parts of northern Minnesota could see a few scattered light snow showers Sunday night, with a flurry chance early Monday in northeastern Minnesota. A few scattered flurries are possible in northern Minnesota Monday afternoon and evening.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale Forecast System model shows the potential precipitation pattern from 8 a.m. Monday to 10 p.m. Monday:

Simulated radar from 8 a.m. Monday to 10 p.m. Monday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the MPR News network

Midweek mix?

Patchy light snow showers are possible in Minnesota and western Wisconsin Tuesday night.

A low pressure system could spread a rain/snow mix into central and southern Minnesota Wednesday evening, followed by a chance of light snow Wednesday night into early Thursday morning.

Updated forecast information will be posted by the National Weather Service offices in the Twin CitiesDuluthLa Crosse, Wis., Sioux Falls, S.D. and Grand Forks, N.D.

Snow deficit update

Jan. 31, 2024 in Minneapolis
Ron Trenda/MPR News

The official Twin Cities snowfall total for the entire month of January was 2 inches. That was 9 inches below the average Twin Cities snowfall total for January. Official Twin Cities snowfall totals are measured at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, where just a trace of snow has been seen this February.

The Twin Cities 2023-2024 snow season total is currently at 7.3 inches, which is 26.2 inches below the average Twin Cities snow total through this point in the snow season.

Here are some additional snow season totals and how far those snow totals differ from normal totals to this point in the snow season:

2023-2024 snow season through Feb. 11
NWS data, chart by Ron Trenda

Note that Duluth is 40.3 inches below their average season snowfall total through Feb. 11.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.