Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Flood watch for most of Minnesota into Wednesday

Bouts of severe storms are also possible

168 qpf
Forecast total rainfall over the next 7 days
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

Multiple rounds of rain and thunderstorms will add up to several inches of potential rainfall on top of already-saturated ground. Severe weather is also possible Monday and Tuesday.

Heavy rainfall with active pattern continuing

There’s a flood watch in effect through 1 a.m. Wednesday due to additional heavy rainfall for much of Minnesota (shaded green).

flood watch 10a
A flood watch covers much of Minnesota through 1 a.m. Wednesday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

After a wet morning, showers and thunderstorms will become more scattered and start to lift north. There will be additional scattered storms redeveloping later this afternoon and evening in southern Minnesota.

mon prec 8a
Forecast precipitation 7 a.m. Monday through 12 a.m. Tuesday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

In addition to the flooding potential there’s a risk of severe storms with the late day activity in southern and western Minnesota. There’s a slight risk (level 2 of 5) for severe storms.

mon spc 8a
Severe weather outlook for Monday into Monday night
NOAA Storm Prediction Center, via Iowa State University

Most shower and thunderstorm activity Monday night into early Tuesday will be in northern Minnesota. As the cold front pushes east, combined with peak heating of the day in the late afternoon, storms will redevelop in a line and sweep across central and eastern Minnesota.

tue prec 8a
Forecast precipitation 1 a.m. Tuesday through 7 a.m. Wednesday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

Humid and hot air will move back north for Tuesday. Dew points will climb back into the 60s and 70s setting us up for more storms Tuesday.

dews
Forecast dew points 7 a.m. Monday through 1 a.m. Wednesday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

Highs Tuesday will be in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees in southern Minnesota.

tue hi
Forecast highs Tuesday
National Weather Service

There’s also a risk of severe storms Tuesday as a cold front touches off more storms late in the afternoon and evening. There’s a slight risk (level 2 of 5) of severe weather for much of Minnesota late Tuesday.

SPC TUe 8a
Severe weather outlook for Tuesday into Tuesday night
NOAA Storm Prediction Center, via Iowa State University

There will be additional rain chances mid to late week. In total, 6 inches of rain is possible on top of rainfall already received over the weekend in some spots.

168 qpf
Forecast total rainfall over the next 7 days
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

Not only will there be the flooding concern over the next 24 to 48 hours but with the additional rainfall, we’ll have to watch rising river levels this week also.