Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Drought, abnormally dry conditions still grip Northern Minnesota

Weather pattern shift offers hope for parched areas

Drought monitor 6-3
Minnesota drought conditions as of Tuesday
National Drought Mitigation Center

Dry conditions remain firmly in place across northern Minnesota, according to this week’s U.S. Drought Monitor report. A changing weather pattern could bring much-needed rainfall to those drought-stricken parts of the state.

Moderate drought continues

The latest U.S. Drought Monitor report continues to highlight persistent dryness across the northern portion of the state. Areas north of Interstate 94 remain abnormally dry, with much of Kittson, Roseau, Hubbard, Wadena, Cass and Itasca counties considered in moderate drought.

Drought monitor 6-3
Minnesota drought conditions as of Tuesday
National Drought Mitigation Center

Looking back at precipitation totals over the past 30 days, the current drought conditions closely reflect the limited rainfall the northern portions of the state have received.

Rainfall totals for the past 30-days
Rainfall totals for the past 30 days
Midwestern Regional Climate Center

Central and southern Minnesota received 2 to as much as 6 to 8 inches of rainfall, while northern Minnesota recorded only about one-half inch to 2 inches.

Change in weather pattern brings hope

A shift in the upper-level air pattern is expected to bring more active weather and increased chances of rainfall across the region. Moisture will be pulled from the Pacific into the Upper Midwest, potentially delivering much-needed rain to northern Minnesota.

Quantitative precipitation forecast through Sunday night
Quantitative precipitation forecast through Sunday night
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

Another sign of increased precipitation chances comes from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center, which highlights a risk of heavy rainfall for June 12–18.

Risk of heavy precipitation June 12-18
Risk of heavy precipitation June 12-18
NOAA Climate Prediction Center

A Bermuda high-pressure system will bring increased moisture from the Gulf, leading to the increased risk of heavy precipitation.

Dewpoints June 12-18th
Dew points June 12-18
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

Only time will tell if this hopeful forecast delivers the rain we need.