Monday's muggy heat fuels severe weather risk
Enhanced risk for strong storms
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Prepare for unsettled weather on Monday as muggy, warm air fuels the development of strong to severe storms during the afternoon and evening hours. Cooler conditions will follow behind the cold front, with temperatures dropping back into the 70s.
Breaks in the cloud cover will continue into Sunday night as temperatures drop to the lower to mid-60s, with readings falling into the 50s across northern Minnesota.
Showers and thunderstorms will continue mainly across southwest and southern Minnesota, dissipating as they move east. We’re closely watching thunderstorm development in the Dakotas early Monday morning — these storms are expected to track into western Minnesota and could impact the severe weather we anticipate Monday afternoon and evening.
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Warm, muggy air moves in Monday, with temperatures rising into the mid to upper 80s across southern Minnesota and the 70s up north. Dewpoints in the 60s and 70s will provide ample fuel for thunderstorm development.
An enhanced risk (level 3 of 5) is centered over central and southern Minnesota Monday afternoon and evening, from 4 p.m. to 10 p.m.
If the atmosphere destabilizes enough, there is potential for tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds. Storms are expected to begin as clusters or isolated supercells, then likely transition into a more linear system by Monday evening.
A brief cooldown into the 70s is expected Tuesday and Wednesday behind the cold front. Showers and storms remain possible Tuesday night into Wednesday before high pressure builds in, bringing a quieter Thursday.
