Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Severe storms possible up north Friday night; extreme weekend heat ahead

Next week is cooler and wet

adv
Extreme heat warnings and heat advisories for Saturday and Sunday
National Weather Service

Conditions will become steamy Friday. Severe storms are possible overnight north. Extreme heat builds in for Saturday and Sunday.

Severe storms north Friday night as heat and humidity surge

After some severe storms overnight in western Minnesota, things will be quiet during the day Friday with partly cloudy skies and steamy conditions building.

Highs will be in the 80s across central and southern Minnesota with low to mid-90s in southwestern Minnesota Friday afternoon. Afternoon heat indices will already be near 100-degrees in southwestern Minnesota Friday.

fri 805
Forecast highs Friday
National Weather Service

The risk of severe storms Friday night shifts a bit north for the northern half of Minnesota. An enhanced risk (level 3 of 5) is forecast in those areas.

svr tonight
Severe weather outlook for Friday evening into early Saturday morning
NOAA, via Iowa Environmental Mesonet of Iowa State University

In particular, we’re concerned for an initial tornado threat in eastern North Dakota and northwestern Minnesota as discrete supercells could develop in the evening hours Friday.

Those storms then look to merge into potentially a couple of bow echoes, producing large hail and severe wind gusts across northern Minnesota into the early morning hours Saturday.

4 panel
Breakdown of the severe threats for Friday night
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

On the map below, check out the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model forecast for wind gusts overnight Friday night. You can see the red areas (severe wind gusts of 60 mph+) sweeping across northern Minnesota.

wind swaths
Forecast wind gust swaths Friday night
WeatherBELL Analytics

Storms will develop in North Dakota first late this afternoon and evening and continue through northern Minnesota well after midnight into the Duluth area by perhaps 3 a.m. or 4 a.m. early Saturday and should exit in time for Grandma’s Marathon.

prec 906a
Forecast simulated radar 7 p.m. Friday through 8 a.m. Saturday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

After Friday night, the focus is on the weekend heat. Highs Saturday and Sunday will be in the 90s across central and southern Minnesota with southwestern Minnesota potentially reaching 100 degrees!

wknd highs
Forecast highs Saturday and Sunday
National Weather Service

The combination of temperatures in the 90s and dew points in the 70s will create extreme heat. The heat index in the afternoons will range from 100 to 110 degrees potentially across southern Minnesota.

hi fcsts
Heat index forecasts for various locations this weekend
National Weather Service

There’s a heat advisory posted for the weekend across a large chunk of the state. 

adv
Extreme heat warnings and heat advisories for Saturday and Sunday
National Weather Service

A cool front will start to touch off storms late Sunday in northwestern Minnesota and across the rest of the state Monday.

We’re in for a cooler and wetter midweek next week with highs in the 70s and 60s and several rounds of rain, thunder that could add up to significant additional rainfall.