Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Rare Fujiwhara dance may develop between two tropical cyclones in the Atlantic

Rare interaction may alter the path of both storms

Tropical weather outlook
Tropical weather outlook
National Hurricane Center

As the busy Atlantic Ocean churns with multiple storms, forecasters are closely watching for signs of a rare Fujiwhara interaction, where two cyclones begin to rotate around each other and potentially shift course.

Rare, interesting ‘dance’

The term Fujiwhara effect is named after meteorologist Sakuhei Fujiwhara, who first described the phenomenon in 1921.

Although relatively uncommon, it occurs when two storms or hurricanes spinning in the same direction come close enough to interact. When this happens, they begin to “dance” around each other, affecting each other's circulation and potentially altering their paths.

Our busy Atlantic basin currently features Hurricane Gabrielle, Tropical Storm Humberto, and Invest 94L.

Tropical weather outlook
Tropical weather outlook
National Hurricane Center

The latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center now calls for Humberto to become a hurricane within the next day and rapidly intensify into a major hurricane (Category 3 or higher) by this weekend.

Invest 94L has a 90% chance of developing into Tropical Depression Imelda and could engage in a Fujiwhara interaction with Tropical Storm Humberto, potentially altering the paths of both storms.

Invest 94L
Invest 94L has a 90% chance of becoming Tropical Depression Imelda.
National Hurricane Center

Currently, Invest 94L is tracking toward the southeastern United States and the Carolina shores by early next week, but a possible interaction with Tropical Storm Humberto could influence their movement.

Forecast surface pressure for the western Atlantic Sunday through Tuesday
Forecast surface pressure for the western Atlantic Sunday through Tuesday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Tropical Tidbits

When we look at an ensemble of weather models, we can see that some suggest Invest 94L may turn to the right, likely due to a possible Fujiwhara interaction with Tropical Storm Humberto.

GEFS (Global Ensemble Forecast System) ensemble of Invest 94L
Global Ensemble Forecast System model of Invest 94L
Weathernerds.org

Whether or not this rare and mystical dance plays out remains to be seen, but the setup is one meteorologists don’t witness often.