Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Very mild stretch of weather ahead

Highs could reach 50 for many locations this weekend

wxWED
Forecast surface weather conditions Wednesday
National Weather Service

We’ll see sun Wednesday thanks to high pressure. Temperatures will continue to warm the rest of this week heading into a very mild weekend.

Brighter skies Wednesday followed by a warmup

It’ll be a few degrees warmer Wednesday thanks in part to sunshine. High pressure will keep much of the state at least partly cloudy after a dreary couple of days. Highs will range from the 20s north to 40s south and possibly near 50 degrees in southwestern Minnesota.

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Forecast highs Wednesday
National Weather Service

The disturbance we’ve been watching the last few days that could have delivered some rain and snow to southern Minnesota late Wednesday night into Thursday morning has shifted south. It now looks to be a mainly Iowa event.

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Forecast precipitation 9 p.m. Wednesday through 1 p.m. Thursday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

Thursday and Friday will be warmer with 40s taking over most of southern Minnesota. Clouds will decrease Thursday and Friday should bring more sunshine again.

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Forecast highs Thursday
National Weather Service

Weekend temperatures into early next week could top out at 50 degrees in the Twin Cities for the first time since mid-November. It was 56 degrees on Nov. 23. 

The record high for the Twin Cities on Valentine’s Day is 50 degrees set back in 1882. St. Cloud and Eau Claire could also tie or break records.

If we reach 50 in the Twin Cities, which seems increasingly likely, this would come about 2 weeks earlier than normal (1991-2020 average) and nearly three to four weeks earlier than the historic average (1961-1990) of just 5 decades ago.

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Forecast highs Saturday; the record high is 50 in the Twin Cities
National Weather Service

Temperatures over the next seven days will average out to be about 15 to 20 degrees above average across the state of Minnesota. Temperatures will average out to be more like late March than mid-February.

7 day T
Forecast averaged temperature anomalies (departure from normal) the next 7 days
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via WeatherBell Analytics

Of course, it’s still February so don’t count winter out just yet. We’ll be in a very mild pattern the next seven days with upper-level ridge warmth dominating the central United States by late next week, but a Pacific storm system could shift things into a stormier pattern.

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Forecast upper-level pattern over the next 8 days
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

While it’s still way too early to pin point snow totals just yet, most forecast models do paint a snowier picture across at least the northern half of Minnesota later next week into the final days of February.

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Forecast total snowfall through Feb. 23 from two forecast models
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA, via Pivotal Weather