Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Temperatures rapidly warm back up

Thursday could bring more thunderstorms

T ANOM Loop
Forecast temperature anomalies (departure from normal) through early Wednesday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

After a chilly weekend, temperatures warm back up quickly early this week. Southern Minnesota will see 80s by Wednesday with more storms possible Thursday.

Temperatures trend upward quickly with more storms possible Thursday

It’s another cold start with most Minnesota locations starting out Monday near or below freezing, but we’ll warm quickly with sunshine.

While northern Minnesota will see more clouds, central and southern Minnesota should see lots of sun with some occasional high clouds filtering that sun. Highs will be in the 60s west with cooler pockets east.

mon
Forecast highs Monday
National Weather Service

There’s a red flag warning due to critical fire weather conditions Monday afternoon. The combination of warmer temperatures with blustery winds and low relative humidity means any fire could spread quickly.

haz
Red flag warnings midday Monday through evening
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

Relative humidity could be as low as 15 to 25 percent for much of the state with wind gusts up to 20 to 35 mph, especially in western and northern Minnesota Monday afternoon.

RH vs WIND
Forecast relative humidity (percent) and wind gusts (mph) at 4 p.m. Monday
National Weather Service

It’ll be back in the 70s for southern Minnesota already tomorrow. Wednesday looks to be the peak of our next warmup with highs in the 80s for much of southern Minnesota once again.

wed
Forecast highs Wednesday
National Weather Service

Wednesday’s high temperatures will be 20 to 25 degrees above normal for central and southern Minnesota.

TANOM Wed
Forecast temperature anomalies (departure from normal) Wednesday afternoon
Pivotal Weather

It’ll be another warm day Thursday. Yet another potent upper level low will drop into the Rockies, helping to push more muggy air back into Minnesota by Thursday.

500 pattern
Forecast upper level pattern Tuesday through Thursday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

Dew points by Thursday could be near 60 degrees again, enough moisture to produce thunderstorms that may become severe.

thu dews
Forecast dew points Thursday morning
Pivotal Weather

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s National Severe Storms Laboratory’s experimental severe weather probability model forecasts a 10 to 15 percent chance of severe storms in southern Minnesota. This would equate to a potential slight risk, a level 2 of 5 severe threat if it holds.

NSSL update
Forecast severe weather probability for Thursday
NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory

As of Monday morning, NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center keeps the slight risk area just south of Minnesota for Thursday but we’ll need to continue to monitor the situation.

day4
Severe weather outlook for Thursday
NOAA Storm Prediction Center

Behind it, cooler air moves back with with highs in the 50s and low 60s Friday into the weekend with another storm system possible by Sunday.

fri
Forecast highs Friday
National Weather Service