Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Very warm and windy with red flag warnings Friday

Stormy pattern develops for Sunday and Monday

haz639
Red flag warnings midday Friday through evening
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

Very warm, dry and windy weather is leading to elevated fire weather conditions Friday. Temperatures will soar into the 80s. A stormy setup develops for Sunday and Monday.

Very warm and windy with red flag warnings Friday; stormy Sunday and Monday

We’ll have temperatures that are average for July this afternoon. Look for plenty of sunshine with highs in the 80s across southern Minnesota with 70s north.

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Forecast highs Friday
National Weather Service

Winds will be blustery in northern Minnesota at 15 to 30 mph. Southern Minnesota winds will be a little lighter at 10 to 20 mph.

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Forecast winds 7 a.m. through 7 p.m. Saturday
College of DuPage weather lab

Afternoon relative humidity values will drop into the 10 to 25 percent range across the state, making for very dry conditions.

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Forecast relative humidity percentage 7 a.m. through 7 p.m. Friday
College of DuPage weather lab

Red flag warnings are posted across much of central and northern Minnesota through the evening hours Friday due to those elevated fire weather concerns.

Even in the Twin Cities and southern Minnesota, fires are not advised as conditions will be dry and windy also, even if they are below red flag criteria.

haz639
Red flag warnings midday Friday through evening
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

The gusty winds and blowing dirt and dust are creating air quality alerts in portions of northwestern Minnesota through Friday evening.

The dust is coming from north-central Montana, which is under severe drought. It blew into North Dakota and northwestern Minnesota on winds that saw gusts of 50 to 65 mph!

Here’s a visible satellite image loop from Thursday evening:

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Visible satellite imagery from space Thursday evening showing a large dust plume (in brown moving across North Dakota)
College of DuPage weather lab

Check the latest air quality conditions, alerts and forecasts here:

That dust has dispersed and is less dense than Thursday evening in northwestern Minnesota but is still visible drifting across northeastern Minnesota and over Lake Superior.

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Visible satellite imagery showing dust from Montana dispersed over northeast Minnesota and Lake Superior early Friday
College of DuPage weather lab

Duluth’s harbor cam shows hazy skies early Friday due to the dust in the air.

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Duluth's harbor cam showing hazy skies from dust from Montana and North Dakota
Duluthharborcam.com

While most of Friday will be dry, some thunderstorms will develop Friday evening and overnight across far southern and southeastern Minnesota.

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Forecast precipitation 5 p.m. Friday through 2 a.m. Saturday
College of DuPage weather lab

Storms that develop could produce some large hail. There’s a slight risk (level 2 of 5) for severe storms forecast for southeastern Minnesota Friday evening into Friday night.

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Severe weather outlook for Friday into Friday night
Iowa Environmental Mesonet, Iowa State University

Saturday will be very warm again but less windy with plenty of sun breaking back out. Highs will range from the low 80s south to the 70s and 60s north.

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Forecast highs Saturday
National Weather Service

The pattern becomes much more active as several rounds of scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible starting Saturday night into Sunday through early Tuesday.

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Forecast precipitation 1 a.m. Sunday through 7 a.m. Tuesday
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

There’s a risk of severe storms especially Sunday but also Monday thanks to higher dew points and atmospheric dynamics in place to allow storms to become more organized.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Storm Prediction Center has an enhanced risk in southwest Minnesota Sunday.

spc SUN 846
Severe weather outlook for Sunday into Sunday night
Iowa Environmental Mesonet, Iowa State University

We’ll likely see a couple days of cooler weather midweek next week in the wake of the storm system. Temperatures will warm up again in time for Memorial Day Weekend.