Tracking stormy weather's return later week

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Rain has been a total feast or famine for Minnesotans in recent weeks, and Sunday was a prime example.
In western Minnesota, the city of Morris received more than 3 inches of rain. In Minnesota’s far northeast, there is still critical fire danger. The split is evident in the Twin Cities, which oscillated between rain and sunshine quickly on Monday.

There are still going to be some rain showers in the westernmost quarter of Minnesota through late Monday, even a few rumbles of thunder. That’s the farthest that the omega block pattern will shift to start the week.
The high-pressure corridor of calm weather does shift a few miles southwest through early Wednesday, which will keep the Twin Cities and the larger metro drier until Wednesday evening.
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After some stunning weather to kick off the workweek, we’re down to near 60 degrees closer to Minneapolis and St. Paul into early Tuesday. Thanks to the winds wrapping around that same stagnant omega block pattern, northern Minnesota’s lakeshore will be a lot cooler, down into the lower 40s.
The outsized influence of Lake Superior could extend 50-plus miles inland, so be prepared for sweater weather in some spots early Tuesday. Through the afternoon on Tuesday, we’ll be a few degrees warmer. We’re talking about the lower 80s around the Twin Cities and mid-80s for much of northern Minnesota.
Fun fact: International Falls got to 90 degrees earlier than Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport this year, for the first time in decades! Tuesday is also mostly dry across the state.

The pattern swaps out late Wednesday morning in northwestern Minnesota, where a stronger front finally knocks down the blocking setup. That could mean some fast-moving downpours and even some more intense thunderstorms in places like Roseau and Bemidji.
Those storms progressively move south through the last stages of Wednesday toward southern Minnesota. Right now, the timing for strong thunderstorms around the Twin Cities is predawn Thursday. Rain will then be off and on through Friday.

The weekend brings a lower overall chance of rain but there are still going to be a few isolated showers around the state.
