Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

High pressure brings sunshine Tuesday ahead of late-week thunder chances

Overall temperatures remain above normal

wx TUE
Forecast surface weather conditions Tuesday
National Weather Service

High pressure brings abundant sunshine Tuesday into the start of Wednesday. We’re still tracking hopeful rain and thunder chances for Wednesday night into Thursday and Friday.

High pressure brings sunshine Tuesday ahead of late week rain, thunder chances

Very dry air is not helping the fire situation in the Ely area. You can see on satellite imagery late Monday afternoon the smoke plume from the Birch Bay fire.

sat
Satellite image from late Monday afternoon showing smoke near Ely
College of DuPage weather lab

Dew points have been much drier recently in northeastern Minnesota compared to southern Minnesota.

While we had dew points near 60 degrees in the Twin Cities Monday, they were only in the 30s in northeastern Minnesota. That meant relative humidity values were in the 15 to 20-percent range north compared to more than 50 percent in the Twin Cities.

Relative humidity will drop into the 10 to 20 percent range Tuesday afternoon but winds will be light.

RH Tue
Forecast relative humidity percent late Tuesday afternoon
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via WeatherBell Analytics

It’ll be a gorgeous, sun-filled Tuesday thanks to high pressure settling in over the Great Lakes. Look for highs back in the 80s for most with some slightly cooler readings near the Minnesota, Iowa border.

tue1
Forecast highs Tuesday
National Weather Service

Wednesday will start out with sunshine and will be another pretty nice day for eastern Minnesota. High temps will again be back in the 80s and dew points will tick up slightly, back into the low 60s in western Minnesota.

wed9
Forecast highs Wednesday
National Weather Service

Clouds will increase to the west Wednesday with some showers and thunder possible late in the day and evening in western Minnesota. We’ll see at least widely scattered showers and thunderstorms Wednesday night into Thursday move across the state.

tue-fri prec 931
Forecast precipitation 7 p.m. Tuesday through 1 p.m. Friday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

Chances of at least spotty showers and thunder linger into Friday and Saturday. Total rainfall through Friday could be decent for some areas, especially in western Minnesota.

qpf EUR656
Forecast total potential rainfall through Friday night
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

There could even be some strong to severe storms mainly in western Minnesota late Wednesday and across southern Minnesota late Thursday. The risk is greatest west.

spc
Severe weather outlooks for Wednesday into early Friday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

Temperatures will remain mostly above normal through the rest of this week into the weekend. There are some indications that next week could be heating up.