Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Isolated thunder lingers Wednesday, heat and humidity ahead

We’ll have more storm chances next week

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Forecast low-level temperature anomalies (departure from normal) Wednesday through Monday
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

We’ll have some isolated afternoon and evening thunder Wednesday. The pattern will flip from cooler to hot and humid for next week.

Flipping the weather pattern into next week

Enjoy these last few cooler-than-normal days if you’re not a fan of heat and humidity. We’ll see highs back in the 70s today with 60s north under partly cloudy skies. These readings continue to be anywhere from 3 to 8 degrees cooler than normal.

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Forecast highs Wednesday
National Weather Service

We’ll also have some lingering instability with isolated to spotty pop-up thunder Wednesday afternoon and evening, mainly north of Interstate 94. Northern Minnesota will see isolated thunder Thursday afternoon as well.

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Forecast precipitation 9 a.m. Wednesday through midnight
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

As mentioned, temperatures remain cooler than normal through Friday but we’re completely flipping the weather pattern over the weekend into next week. We’ll go from cooler to hotter-than-normal temperatures, and it will stick around as a significant heat dome develops next week for the central United States.

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Forecast low-level temperature anomalies (departure from normal) Wednesday through Monday
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

Dew points will also be increasing this weekend. We’ll likely see tropical dew points near or into the 70s by Sunday into next week.

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Forecast dew points late Thursday through late Monday
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

The combination of high dew points and heat will create some potentially dangerous heat index values, especially early next week. Highs Monday could reach the mid to even upper 90s with heat index values in the triple digits.

The global wet bulb temperature will be in the mid-80s. That’s the coolest the surface that one’s skin can cool to. That can lead to heat stress.

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Forecast highs and heat index values for Monday afternoon
NOAA, via WeatherBell Analytics

The heat looks to stick around a while, too. Most models keep us in the upper 80s to 90s right through the Fourth of July holiday weekend and potentially beyond.

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Forecast high and low temperatures for the Twin Cities area
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via WeatherBell Analytics

That heat and moisture increase will also increase chances of thunderstorms — mainly in the overnight hours as we’ll be capped — with warm air in the mid-levels, by day, preventing daytime storms.

Needless to say, lakes and pools have been cool as of late but we’ll be warming them up in time for the Fourth of July holiday weekend.