Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Nice Monday but multiple storm chances ahead

Heat could be building for early next week

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Forecast precipitation 7 p.m. Monday through 1 a.m. Thursday
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

Monday will be pleasant and dry for most except northwestern Minnesota. We’ll have multiple chances of storms ahead Tuesday into Wednesday.

Nice Monday but multiple storm chances ahead

We’ll have a pleasant Monday. Look for partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees in western Minnesota. It will be cooler, of course, near Lake Superior. Dew points won’t be terribly uncomfortable, mostly in the low to mid-60s.

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Forecast highs Monday
National Weather Service

A slowly moving cool front will touch off a few spotty showers and thunderstorms later in the day across northwestern Minnesota.

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Forecast precipitation 8 a.m. Monday through midnight Monday night
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

There’s even a slight (level 2 of 5) severe risk in northwestern Minnesota.

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Severe weather outlook for Monday into Monday night
National Weather Service

The leftover outflows from those storms and front will touch off more scattered showers and storms this time a bit more south across central Minnesota, including possibly the Twin Cities on Tuesday. More storms will develop Tuesday evening and overnight.

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Forecast precipitation 7 a.m. Tuesday through 7 a.m. Wednesday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

After overnight storms Tuesday night, more storms will develop later in the day Wednesday into the evening before we dry out for Thursday and Friday.

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Forecast precipitation 1 a.m. Wednesday through 1 a.m. Thursday
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

There’s a slight risk (level 2 of 5) forecast for severe storms Tuesday into Tuesday night in southwestern and south-central Minnesota. In particular, we’re concerned about damaging winds, large hail and flash flooding in this period.

tue SVR
Severe weather outlook Tuesday into Tuesday night
National Weather Service

In addition to the risk of severe weather, we’ll be watching for potential heavy rainfall. There’s a slight risk of excessive rainfall Tuesday into Tuesday night meaning a potential flash flood risk with multiple rounds of storms developing over the same region in central Minnesota.

flood potential TUE
Excessive rainfall / flash flood risk Tuesday and Wednesday
National Weather Service

We’ll then see a slight dip in temps and dew points for Thursday and Friday. Enjoy that because we’re watching a potential heat dome developing for early next week. It looks increasingly likely a ‘heat dome’ will develop in the region.

A heat dome is an upper-level area of high pressure that acts like a pressure cooker, creating heat waves.

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Upper-level forecast pattern Saturday through Tuesday
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model is the most aggressive with the heat, which is concerning as it tends to be one of the more accurate models. While highs in the 90s look likely early next week, we could possibly hit 100 degrees in southern Minnesota.

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Forecast high and low temperatures for the Twin Cities area into next week
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via WeatherBell Analytics