Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Rain coming to drought-impacted Minnesota

Cooler temps this weekend

Rain totals through Friday
The map shows widespread rains through Friday evening all across Minnesota. The data is from the National Blend of Models suite.
National Weather Service

Needed, heavy rain is coming to southwestern Minnesota and across the state in the next 40 hours, temporarily easing drought conditions.

The weekend shapes up to be cooler. More rain is likely early next week.

Drought conditions bake Minnesota, but rain is near

Last week’s drought conditions report showed much of Minnesota needing rain.

In southwestern Minnesota, ranchers the past few days have used the USDA’s Condition Monitoring Observer Reports on Drought tool to report how dry it is on their pastures. Some have taken cows off the land a couple of months ahead of schedule. Grass is gone, creeks are drying and hay is struggling.

In the Twin Cities, the shallowest soil moisture is only 0.4 percent of normal. Conditions get a lot better way deep down in the soil, but it may be time to water your garden in a big way.

We will see at farmer’s markets later this summer how this drought impacts the yield, and subsequently, the price of fruits and vegetables not grown in greenhouses.

CMOR Photo One
Ranchers in Pipestone, Rock and Murray counties say dry conditions are forcing them to supplement feed their animals as grass turns brown. Creek levels are also running very low.
Condition Monitoring Observer Reports on Drought

Rain Thursday into Friday

After a toasty Wednesday, Thursday morning will be pleasant and noticeably cooler. The clouds begin to roll in and the humidity jumps up a notch.

Here are the forecast highs and lows:

Low temps tonight
This shows the milder temperatures for Thursday's low across the state of Minnesota, from the National Blend of Models suite.
National Weather Service
High temps Thursday
These are your high temps Thursday. The lighter orange is the rain starting to move in, cooling western zones down.
National Weather Service

We still climb back into the 90s all across Minnesota with rain in the later afternoon into the evening.

Some of this lingers in southwestern Minnesota. Several weather maps bring a couple of inches of fresh rain to areas like Marshall and Worthington. That would be great.

The rain picks up after dusk Thursday into the early morning hours of Friday. The actual frontal passage happens Friday evening, and it may bring a hit of rain from northwest to southeast.

A couple of severe storms seem possible in central Minnesota, closer to Brainerd and Bemidji, which is where things have popped up all summer long.

Rain totals through Friday
This shows the widespread rains through Friday evening, all across Minnesota. The data is from the NBM suite.
National Weather Service
thu-sat pr 725
Forecast precipitation 7 a.m. Thursday through 4 a.m. Saturday.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

Cooler weekend; more rain early next week

The weekend shapes up to be cooler, though still pretty close to the weekly average. That means highs in the middle 80s across much of Minnesota. Lows are a little above normal, in the middle 60s in most spots.

There will also be some river valley fog, though perhaps a little less than the dense fog advisories we’ve had in recent days.

The afternoon model runs from the the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Global Forecast System show a big front and widespread rain Monday night into Tuesday. Hopefully, this doesn’t pack severe weather.

We should warm back up by the weekend of Aug 8-9. There are signals for a few more powerful fronts and rainmakers into the extended forecast, but I’m always a little skeptical this far out.