Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Seasonable temperatures with mainly isolated thunderstorm chances

Cooler air moves in late in the week

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Twin Cities area forecast
Twin Cities National Weather Service office

Temperatures will be in the low to mid-80s for the first half of the week before cooler air moves in. We’ll be looking at just isolated to spotty thunderstorm chances.

Seasonable temps, isolated thunderstorm chances

Some areas saw some needed rainfall over the weekend. Unfortunately, as has often been the case this summer, the heaviest rain keeps falling in areas that needed it least. In particular, Vernon Center, in south-central Minnesota, saw 2.95 inches of rain over the weekend.

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Estimated rainfall Friday through early Monday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

Monday will be a pretty seasonable mid-August day. Look for partly cloudy skies and highs in the low to mid-80s across central Minnesota with slightly cooler temperatures north and south.

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Forecast highs Monday
National Weather Service

Muggier air will be depart just south, allowing for dew points to drop temporarily into the 50s. Look for stickier dew points — back in the 60s — to return Tuesday.

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Forecast dew points early Monday through Tuesday night
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

As that moisture moves back northward Monday night, it will potentially touch off at least a few thunderstorms in southern Minnesota into early Tuesday. Activity is likely to develop in eastern South Dakota late Monday night and fill in and track east into early Tuesday morning.

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Forecast precipitation 1 a.m. through 1 p.m. Tuesday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

There’s a slight (level 2 of 5) severe risk for southwestern Minnesota and a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) for much of the rest of southern Minnesota, south of the Twin Cities Monday night into early Tuesday. The main threats would come from damaging wind gusts and large hail.

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Severe weather outlook for Monday night into early Tuesday
Iowa Environmental Mesonet / Iowa State University

It’ll be more of the same for Tuesday with highs again back in the 70s and 80s with some patchy clouds after morning thunder in the south.

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Forecast highs Tuesday
National Weather Service

After Tuesday, any rain or thunder chances are pretty isolated. We will see some cool air move in late week, however. Highs will be in the 70s for most with some cool overnights Thursday into the weekend. Another system could deliver rainfall Friday night into early Saturday.

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Forecast precipitation early Friday through Saturday night
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather