Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Lingering instability Tuesday along a cool front

Cooler, more comfortable air moves in Wednesday and Thursday

spcTUE
Severe weather outlook for Tuesday
Iowa Environmental Mesonet / Iowa State University

Some lingering morning showers and thunder will dissipate Tuesday morning, but more thunderstorms could redevelop later in the day. Cooler, drier air moves back in midweek along with sunshine.

Lingering instability Tuesday along a cool front followed by cooler air

Some scattered, lingering showers and thunder early Tuesday will continue to track east and southeast and dissipate in northeastern Minnesota. We should see clearing skies Tuesday morning into midday and afternoon.

Some sun and warmth along with muggy dew points and an advancing cool front could trigger more spotty thunder late Tuesday afternoon and evening, especially north and east.

RRFS
Forecast precipitation 5 a.m. through 10 p.m. Tuesday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

Whatever storms do develop could pack a severe risk. There’s a slight (level 2 of 5) severe risk for Tuesday for northeastern Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin and a marginal (level 1 of 5) risk elsewhere in eastern Minnesota.

Some isolated large hail and damaging wind gusts would be the main threats.

spcTUE
Severe weather outlook for Tuesday
Iowa Environmental Mesonet / Iowa State University

Sandwiched in between rain and storm chances we’ll see highs in the mid-80s across much of central and southern Minnesota, above normal by several degrees.

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Forecast highs Tuesday
National Weather Service

Behind the cool front, dew points and temperatures will dip once again for Wednesday and Thursday. We’ll see dew points back in the 50s by late Wednesday into Thursday along with sunshine.

dews
Forecast dew points early Tuesday through early Thursday
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

Highs Wednesday will be several degrees cooler, but still near or slightly above normal highs for this time of year.

There will be some lingering instability for mostly northeastern Minnesota, where a couple of pop-up showers or thunder will be possible again in the afternoon and evening Wednesday.

wed
Forecast highs Wednesday
National Weather Service

High pressure departs Friday and that will allow for “return flow” — southerly winds that bring back muggier dew points and warmer temperatures — late Friday into the weekend. That increase in moisture along with a series of fast-moving upper-level disturbances could touch off a few storm chances this weekend.

UL pattern
Forecast upper level pattern late this week into the weekend
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

Timing and placing those storms is murky right now but we’ll get a better idea closer to the upcoming weekend. Plan on at least some spotty storms but by no means does the weekend look like a washout.

prec
Forecast precipitation Thursday evening through Monday evening
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

The first couple days of the Minnesota State Fair look great though with highs in the low to mid-80s and comfortable dew points along with dry weather both Thursday and Friday.