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Hot start to September with spotty rain chances

Tuesday night into early Wednesday yields the next chance of thunder

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Forecast temperature anomalies (departure from normal) for this first day of September (Tuesday)
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via WeatherBELL Analytics

Welcome to September. It will be nearly 10 degrees above normal Tuesday, but less humid than Monday morning. Muggy air and spotty storm chances return Tuesday night.

Hot start to September with spotty rain chances

It may be the first day of meteorological fall, but it will feel like midsummer Tuesday and really through the week. Afternoon highs will be in the mid to upper 80s across southern Minnesota with upper 70s north Tuesday.

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Forecast highs Tuesday
National Weather Service

Dew points will be more comfortable Tuesday, mostly in the 50s north to low to mid-60s south. Dew points will be considerably more humid, near 70 degrees along the Minnesota-Iowa border.

Those dew points will increase again Tuesday night into the rest of the week with pretty muggy air sticking around through much of the upcoming holiday weekend.

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Forecast dew points early Tuesday through early Thursday
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

That increase in moisture combined with a couple of fast-moving, upper-level disturbances will touch off the next chances of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Storms will develop in eastern South Dakota late Tuesday and track east overnight across central and southern Minnesota into early Wednesday.

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Forecast precipitation 1 p.m. Tuesday through 11 a.m. Wednesday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

There’s a slight risk (level 2 of 5) for severe storms Tuesday night across portions of southern Minnesota.

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Severe weather outlook for Tuesday night
Iowa Environmental Mesonet / Iowa State University

The big concern with overnight storms will be damaging wind gusts. The line of storms that develops could produce wind gusts greater than 60 mph across the southern most counties of the state between about 11 p.m. Tuesday night and 4 a.m. Wednesday.

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Forecast potential wind gusts Tuesday night
NOAA, via WeatherBell Analytics

We’ll have another chance of a few storms late Wednesday night into Thursday with perhaps a lingering chance into Friday morning. It will also be quite humid Thursday again with dew points near 70 degrees into the weekend.

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Forecast precipitation 3 a.m. through 9 p.m. Thursday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

The holiday weekend looks hot and humid, despite coming later than usual. We’ll see highs in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees to kick off the weekend in southern Minnesota at least. There could be some storms Saturday night and on Labor Day.

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Twin Cities area high and low temperature forecast
NOAA, via WeatherBell Analytics