Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Minnesota weather: Fall-ing temperatures and rains as we 'leaf' summer behind

Sunshine and mild weather are here for Wednesday but then rain is back early Thursday with on-off showers this weekend.

Thursday AM rain
Still looking at a decent rain event early in the day on Thursday.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via WeatherBell

It’s fall, y’all! Autumn officially begins at 7:05 p.m. Tuesday. Temperatures will be cool but not cold. Rain returns early Thursday and then again in a couple of wet waves this coming weekend. We may even get some eventual tropical moisture curling around the Pacific Ocean via the Desert Southwest.

Wednesday cloud cover
We like this tool ('Canadian clouds') for these mid-latitude storms (45° North is right there at the middle of the northern latitudes) which are often difficult to forecast for on partly cloudy days. The Canadians have us mostly clear!
Government of Canada

A taste of autumn

At 7:05 p.m. Tuesday, the center point of the sun passes over the Earth’s equator. This is the autumnal equinox for the Northern Hemisphere. You don’t have to speak Latin to guess that equinox means “equal night,” as lower latitudes have almost exactly 12 hours of day and 12 hours of night. But in most of Minnesota, the 12-hour split actually comes Friday, Sept. 25! Yes, you can balance a chicken egg on the Equinox! Thing is, you can do this any day, if you’re willing to spend enough time getting the yolk to settle. This does not have to happen on an Equinox.

Low temps tonight
Another chilly night is in store. It could be the coldest morning since late May for much of southern Minnesota.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via WeatherBell

After our coolest morning since late May, we’re due for another chilly morning. This is great windows-open sleeping weather for the brave. Or, at least a brief reprieve from the air conditioner. Here’s to hoping your electric bills will be low next month.

High temps Wednesday
Despite the sunshine, Wednesday is likely to be a few degrees below average. Still looks to be a really nice day.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via WeatherBell

Wednesday should be a tiny bit cooler than average, with ample sunshine in the first two thirds of the day. Clouds roll in along the Red River Valley, and along the Minnesota and South Dakota border by late Wednesday afternoon. This leads to the first rain of fall through mid-morning on Thursday. Because this band is slow moving and is not a thunderstorm risk, that’s great news to help slowly alleviate our drought.

Thursday AM rain
Still looking at a decent rain event early in the day on Thursday.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via WeatherBell

Rain chances start to pile up

The rain Thursday starts from west to east but ends up pushing in some streamers of light rain and sprinkles later in the day Thursday and lingering into Friday. All the way from Wednesday through Friday, we will be a little below average across all parts of Minnesota. Wednesday and Thursday will look much different, but at the warmest, we will only top out in the middle 60s. Friday is likely to be mostly cloudy but a little drier, and perhaps marginally warmer.

While there is no agreement between the Euro (European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting), Americans (a lot of different maps) and Canadian weather maps, they all have a fairly soggy weekend lasting through about Tuesday. Now this would be a really good drought helper! Much of the state now needs 8-12 inches of additional rain and precipitation to eliminate drought over the next few months. This could be a great second wave to get us started!

From now until next Wednesday, the weather maps do actually agree on one thing, even if it is not the timing nor coverage of each rain event. Most of Minnesota is in line for 2-3 inches of rain added up over that time frame. Effectively, it would all balance out for the North Star State through about Day 8.