Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Winterlike temps return briefly before another warmup next week

weather story graphic showing forecast weather conditions Thursday through Sunday
Cooler weather sets in Thursday into the weekend before a warming trend early next week.
Twin Cities National Weather Service office

Minnesota settles into its coldest stretch of November weather so far, with highs largely in the 30s and lower 40s through Saturday. The weekend looks dry.

Temperatures return to the 50s and possibly 60s early next week.

Much colder Thursday into the weekend, then a warmup

We knew this was coming. After some very mild, unseasonably warm weather earlier this week, we’re beginning to get a dose of weather reality as we look at the calendar at realize it’s mid-November.

a series of maps showing forecast high temperatures across Minnesota Thursday through Sunday
Forecast high temperatures Thursday through Saturday
PolarWx

Highs Thursday will be mainly in the 30s and lower 40s. Expect partly cloudy skies overnight into Friday with temperatures dropping down to the teens to mid-20s statewide. Overnight lows will be in the teens and 20s, with Saturday morning particularly cold.

a series of maps showing forecast low temperatures across Minnesota Thursday through Sunday
Forecast overnight low temperatures across Minnesota Thursday night through Sunday night
PolarWx

Temperatures across Minnesota will be in the upper 30s to low 40s on Saturday, low to mid-40s on Sunday and then back to around 50 degrees Monday.

We’ll likely peak in terms of temperatures on Wednesday with highs reaching the mid-50s across central and southern Minnesota, including the Twin Cities metro area. Highs will run around 50 degrees up north around Grand Rapids, Thief River Falls and International Falls.

We’ll see a noticeable warming trend developing as we move into next week, with highs returning to the 50s, with some 60s possible. Strengthening southerly winds could be more significant than current blended guidance indicates.

Dry weekend; rain chances late next week

Canadian high pressure will bring decreasing cloud cover, light winds, and mostly dry conditions through Sunday.

animated gif showing progression of weather systems across the U.S. over the next several days
Canadian high pressure will dominate our weather through Sunday.
National Weather Service

A developing storm system out west could bring a more active pattern to our weather situation toward the end of next week. Rain is favored initially, but storm track and amounts remain uncertain.

european model guidance showing precipitation 12 pm Wednesday 11/18 until 6 pm Sunday 11/22
European model guidance showing precipitation chances from noon on Nov. 18 to 6 p.m. on Nov. 22
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via PolarWx

The ensemble computer models — models run several times with slightly different inputs to look for consistencies in their predictions — show increasing probabilities for rainfall amounts exceeding one-tenth to one-half inch.