Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Big warmup underway with rain chances later in the week

weather story graphic showing forecast for Sunday through Thursday
Our warming trend will continue through midweek, when our first opportunity for rain arrives.
National Weather Service

It’s been another chilly morning across Minnesota, with temperatures mainly in the 20s across the state, which is right around average — if not a few degrees below average — for mid-November.

Some of the warmer spots Sunday morning are actually up in the Red River Valley, where places like Fosston and Mahnomen are checking in with temperatures of 36 degrees, which is about 15 degrees above normal in terms of overnight lows.

map showing temperatures across Minnesota and surrounding areas
Temperatures at 8 a.m. CST Sunday.
PolarWx

This is the last morning for a while that we’ll see widespread freezing conditions across Minnesota, as a transition in the overall weather pattern overhead will bring more southerly flow of air to our region over the next several days. This will result in daytime highs that will be increasingly above normal for mid-November. Here’s what we’re expecting across the state over the next several days:

table showing forecast high temperatures for selected cities Sunday through Wednesday
Forecast high temperatures through Wednesday for selected cities across Minnesota.
National Weather Service

A few spots in southern Minnesota could reach 60 degrees by Wednesday before temperatures begin moderating statewide during the second half of the week, though they will likely remain several degrees above average until next weekend.

Along with the warmer conditions, we’ll see increasing winds during the first half of the week, especially across western Minnesota, where gusts could reach 25 to 35 mph — and possibly as high as 45 mph for areas in the southwestern part of the state.

map showing forecast wind gusts for noon Tuesday across Minnesota
Forecast wind gusts for noon Tuesday.
National Weather Service

Precipitation chances later in the week

We’re still monitoring two back-to-back low-pressure systems in terms of the possibility of precipitation later in the week. The first system is forecast to hit us Wednesday into Thursday. Scattered rain showers are possible, with the highest chances in northern Minnesota, though widespread soaking rain is unlikely with this first system.

animation showing forecast weather conditions for Minnesota and surrounding region
Forecast weather conditions for 6 p.m. CST Wednesday through 12 a.m. Saturday.
PolarWx

The more likely chances of precipitation will come with the second, potentially stronger, moisture-rich storm Friday night into Saturday. Rain is favored initially, although colder air wrapping around the departing system could introduce some snow, especially across northern and central Minnesota. Some areas could see in excess of half an inch of rain with this system.