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Minnewisowa

The Weekly Standard has a Barry Casselman article on the Senate race. You can only get about 4 paragraphs of it online, thus it doesn't make sense to link to it as I normally would when articles appear. But Barry sent his work along and I'm posting it here. Whether that gets me into trouble or not, we'll see. Nobody has yelled at me yet today, so ...

AS MINNESOTA GOES.......

High political stakes in northern states

by Barry Casselman

Minneapolis

Minnesota is at the center of a political superstate

I call "Minnewisowa" (Minnesota, Wisconsin,

Iowa), which could be a vital battleground for the

presidential elections of 2008, as it was in 2004.

Minnewisowa has 28 electoral votes (more than

Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois, or Michigan), and its

component states not only vote similarly, but, since

2000, are also among the most competitive "swing"

states in the nation.

In this year's midterm elections, all three states have

competitive contests for governor. The GOP could

pick up the executive posts in Wisconsin and Iowa,

with two sitting congressmen as candidates: Mark

Green (if he wins the Wisconsin GOP nomination)

and Jim Nussle in Iowa. That's the good news for

Republicans. The bad news is that both these House

seats, now vacated, could be won by Democrats.

The incumbent Republican governor of Minnesota,

Tim Pawlenty, is favored to win reelection in a

three-way contest that will feature a candidate from

the state's Independence party (which previously

fielded Jesse Ventura). While it remains to be seen

if this candidate can win anything like the 37 percent

Ventura achieved, his presence will make it difficult

for any Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) candidate to

win. The major battle in Minnesota and the region

will be for the Senate seat being vacated by

incumbent Democrat Mark Dayton. Congressman

Mark Kennedy successfully warded off an intra-party

fight for the GOP nomination, and this seat is probably

the best opportunity for a GOP pick-up in 2006.

Hennepin County (Minneapolis) Attorney Amy

Klobuchar had originally planned to run as the DFL

candidate for state attorney general, but when Dayton

unexpectedly decided to retire after one term, she

entered the Senate race. Patty Wetterling, who became

well-known in the state for her efforts on behalf of

children following the kidnapping of her son, and

who ran a strong race for Congress against Kennedy in

2004, was Klobuchar's main opponent until she

abruptly withdrew to run again for the 6th district

Congressional seat. Ford Bell, a liberal philanthropist

with his own financial resources, but politically

unknown, also entered. Almost by default, Klobuchar

thus became the almost-certain DFL nominee, and a

costly primary was avoided. Bell remains in the race,

but polls show him far behind Klobuchar.

Klobuchar does have problems. Although she has

raised substantial funds, she is not well-known

outside the state