Midterms near, with Senate in play
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Only seven weeks remain until the midterm elections, which may bring a shift to Republican control of Congress and rougher going for the last two years of President Obama's administration. Which Senate seats should we be watching as Election Day nears?
Writing at FiveThirtyEight, analyst Nate Silver suggests the election doesn't matter much:
Of course, President Obama will control the White House through 2016. So, there will be a Democratic president and, almost certainly, a Republican check on Obama's power in the Congress. The Senate is very much in play. But a GOP-controlled Senate would be somewhat redundant. Republicans already exercise a "veto" on Obama's power in the House and, with party-line voting and political polarization near their all-time highs, this suffices to make Obama a lame duck except on initiatives he can pass through the executive branch alone.
Might the Republicans lose governorships in important states? Will this election be all about turnout?
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