Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Heat on the horizon? 80s to near 90 next weekend?

Forecast models teasing us again with heat in about nine days

Here we go again.

The forecast models are teasing us again with notions of the first significant summer hot spell in about eight to 10 days.

Blocking pattern ahead?

The upper air forecast maps suggest a possible blocking pattern setting up across the central U.S. in about a week. NOAA’s GFS model build a ridge of high pressure aloft over the Upper Midwest by next Sunday.

NOAA GFS model upper air forecast for May 31
NOAA GFS model upper air forecast for May 31
NOAA via Weather Bell

If this pattern evolves, the first significant batch of summery heat will build across the central U.S.

European model is warm

The usually trusty European model is cranking out highs into the upper 80s by the last weekend in May.

European model forecast for the Twin Cities
European model forecast for the Twin Cities
ECMWF via Met Norway

NOAA’s week 3-4 temperature outlook also favors warmer than average conditions across the Upper Midwest.

NOAA week 3 and 4 temperature outlook
NOAA week 3 and 4 temperature outlook
NOAA

The forecast models overpredicted warm temperatures for this week. Let’s see how next week’s prediction verify.

Stay tuned, and have a great long weekend Minnesota!