Frigid temperatures this weekend prompt cold weather advisories

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Tropical Storm Cristobal is moving north into and heading for a likely Gulf Coast landfall.

Most forecast models, and the official National Hurricane Center track forecast bring the storm to near New Orleans late Sunday night into Monday morning.

The latest European model forecast places the center of Cristobal very close to New Orleans late Sunday night.

The storm will move over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. That means it will likely intensify before it reaches the Gulf Coast. The big question is how much will it strengthen? Most forecast models keep Cristobal at tropical storm strength before landfall. 

But remember that tropical cyclone intensity is often less easily predictable than storm tracks.

Tropical storm warnings are up for a big chunk of southeast Louisiana including New Orleans.

Forecasts for 2 to 4 feet of storm surge are up for the Gulf Coast. 

Cristobal’s moisture is likely to reach the Upper Midwest by next Tuesday. Models are suggesting enhanced rainfall totals across the Upper Midwest next week.

Weather and Climate News

Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Paul Huttner

Author

Tropical Storm Cristobal likely makes landfall this weekend along the Louisiana coast.

Tropical Storm Cristobal model track forecast

NOAA/National Hurricane Center

European model (ECMWF) output for 1 am Monday

ECMWF via pivotal weather

Tropical Storm Cristobal model intensity forecasts

NOAA via tropical tidbits

NOAA/NWS New Orleans

European model (ECMWF) precipitation output

Tropical Storm Cristobal landfall near New Orleans?

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