Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Tracking a Saturday night thunder threat

Severe risk for southern Minnesota Saturday night

Another summer holiday weekend in Minnesota. That means some great weather, a Labor Day cold front, and of course a batch of nocturnal thunderstorms.

Saturday night warm front

Our tranquil Friday weather pattern holds through Saturday. By Saturday night, warm front bubbles into southern Minnesota. Storms are likely to fire along the frontal boundary after sunset Saturday evening.

NOAA’s NAM 3 km resolution model continues to show a cluster of strong to potentially severe storms firing west of the Twin Cities Saturday night, that could roll through the Twin Cities and southern Minnesota between about 10 p.m. Saturday night and 3 a.m. Sunday.

NOAA NAM 3 km model
NOAA NAM 3 km model output between 7 p.m. Saturday and 7 a.m. Sunday
NOAA via tropical tidbits

Severe risk

The atmosphere looks unstable enough to support some severe storms packing high winds and hail Saturday night. NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center paints a slight risk for severe storms across a big chunk of southern Minnesota Saturday night.

Severe weather risk areas
Severe weather risk areas Saturday night
NOAA/Twin Cities National Weather Service

Bottom line: The overall weekend forecast looks mostly summery Saturday and Sunday, and cooler on Labor Day. Saturday night is the time to keep an eye out for some strong to severe thunderstorms favoring southern Minnesota. Boaters and campers should have a plan to get off the lake and into shelter quickly if necessary Saturday night.